[franfranParticipant]

  North Carolina

    PG – Kendall Marshall: 10,2 ppg 2,8 rpg 9,2 apg 1,5 spg 0,2 bpg

    SG – Reggie Bullock: 12,5 ppg 3,5 rpg 1,5 apg 1 spg 0,3 bpg

    SF – Harrison Barnes: 18,1 ppg 6,2 rpg 2,1 apg 1 spg 0,5 bpg

    PF – John Henson: 11,2 ppg 10,5 rpg 0,9 apg 0,6 spg 3,5 bpg

    C –  Tyler Zeller: 14,4 ppg 6,8 rpg 0,8 apg 0,6 spg 1 bpg

    6 –   James McAdoo: 13,3 ppg 6,4 rpg 1,2 apg 0,8 spg 1,4 bpg

    7 –   Dexter Strickland: 7,2 ppg 2,5 rpg 1,8 apg 1,4 spg 0,1 bpg

 

  Kentucky

   PG – Marquis Teague: 14,2 ppg 3,5 rpg 6,2 apg 1,4 spg 0,3 bpg

   SG – Doron Lamb: 15,8 ppg 2,8 rpg 2,4 apg 0,8 spg 0,3 bpg

   SF – Michael Gilchrist: 15,5 ppg 7,2 rpg 2,1 apg 1,5 spg 1 bpg

   PF – Terrence Jones: 16 ppg 7,5 rpg 1,8 apg 1,2 spg 1,5 bpg

   C –   Anthony Davis: 16,4 ppg 8.1 rpg 1,5 apg 1,1 spg 2,2 bpg

   6 –    Kyle Witjer: 5,2 ppg 3,1 rpg 0,5 apg 0,4 spg 0,4 bpg

 

  Ohio

   PG – Aron Craft: 10,8 ppg 3,4 rpg 5,2 apg 2,1 spg 0,2 bpg

   SG – William Buford: 16,8 ppg 4,4 rpg 3,2 apg 1,1 spg 0,3 bpg

   SF –  LaQuinton Ross: 10,4 ppg 5,5 rpg 1,6 apg 1,2 spg 0,6 bpg

   PF –  Deshaun Thomas: 12 ppg 6,2 rpg 0,8 apg 0,6 spg 0,5 bpg

   C –    Jared Sullinger: 18,8 ppg 11 rpg 1,5 apg 1,2 spg 0,8 bpg

   6 –     Sam Thompson: 6,2 ppg 2,8 rpg 0,8 apg 0,6 spg 0,5 bpg

 

  Baylor

   PG – A.J Walton: 8,8 ppg 3,4 rpg 5,2 apg 2,5 spg 0,1 bpg

   SG – Deuce Bello: 9,2 ppg 3,5 rpg 1,2 apg 1,1 spg 0,3bpg

   SF – Quincy Miller: 20,8 ppg 6,8 rpg 1,4 apg 1,4 spg 1,2 bpg

   PF – Perry Jones: 16,4 ppg 8,2 rpg 1,8 apg 0,8 spg 1,5 bpg

   C –   Anthony Jones: 9 ppg 5,1 rpg 1 apg 0,6 spg 0,5 bpg

   6 –    Quincy Acy: 13,4 ppg 8,1 rpg 1,2 apg 0,8 spg 1,2 bpg 

[French FlairParticipant]

you can retire 1 or 2 ppg at each player… if we had the total ppg of each player, each team will increase their offense of 10 points or more… I hope that the ncaa coaches won’t forget to teach defense to the college players.

But for the rest, great job, it’s not easy to predict how a player will grow from one year to another.

[sammybuckeye13Participant]

 These numbers are made as if every single player fulfilled his potential next year. With all 3 of those teams you have them outscoring the same team last year and you’ve only listed 6 or 7 players. Not everyone is going to pan out next year…and quincy miller is not going to average 21 points. 

[mikeyvthedonParticipant]

And overprojecting, franfran is a prime target. Examples:

• Baylor’s top 6 players under franfran’s predictions: 77.6 ppg. Baylor’s average last year as a team: 69 ppg (AS A TEAM! With about 10 ppg coming from outside of the top 6)

 

• Ohio State franfranized: 75 ppg (top 6), they averaged 77 as a team with about 10 ppg out of their top 6. This is not as bad as Baylor, but incredibly generous on the prediction side of quite a few players.

 

• Kentucky with the mark of fran squared: 83.1 ppg (Leaving out a player who averaged 10.9 ppg in Darius Miller and the likely increase in minutes of one Eloy Vargas). Kentucky averaged 75 ppg last year (as a team), and 79 ppg the year they had 5 first round draft picks. Though they got about all of their points from their top 6 last year, this years top 6 is not going to average about 10 ppg more.

 

• (The best one yet) North Carolina’s top 7: 86.9 ppg! Last year, as a team, they averaged 78. FranFran also leaves out two scoring guards in PJ Hairston and Leslie McDonald, luckily, or this team might be over 100.

 

My point people is, these are the crazy projections we are talking about. You can not make viable projections like this, it is in a video game dream world. TaylorCondrin and whatever are getting the hang of it, and will ultimately go even deeper in their projections, while franfran continues to give us insane fantasy world projections that come to him in a dream. Franfran, use this: http://espn.go.com/menscollegebasketball/team/stats/_/id/153/north-carolina-tar-heels 

Let me use the Miami Big 3 as an example. I knew they would score a lot of points, but I knew they would also not be scoring as much as they used too. I thought the Heat might average and tack on about 70 for 3 players to split up (They were at 70.9 in the regular season, 68.3 thus far in the post season), but I thought around that number when I predicted what they would score per game. I came to about 27, 25 and 18, and it has been around there. I am not a genius of predictions, but I was realistic in that I knew they would not be averaging more than 80 per game and that they would probably have to be averaging around a certain number. In certain games the Heat players could go for more, in certain games they will go for less, but the average will not be as high as you tend to predict them. They are not realistic franfran. Hope you understand and maybe change your way of thinking about predicting scoring outputs, because while UNC and Baylor may have games where they put up 80 or more points, it will not happen all of the time and the averages will balance out.

[providencefriars1Participant]

Ya these arent so hot bud, im doubting your familarity with these teams.

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