[mikeyvthedonParticipant]

I just wanted to share a little theory I am thinking of putting into practice. In the past, I always think I took the team picking too much into account during past Mock Drafts I have made, and I want to tell everyone why this could be a bad idea:

TRADES HAPPEN!

There, got that over with. Yes, why would Houston want another PG at 14 or 23, when they already are decided on Kyle Lowry? Well, who knows if they will be drafting 23? This theory may mean that you look like an idiot to the person saying, "That is crazy, they have Carmelo Anthony at SF", but nonetheless, it could make you look like a genius come Draft day.

Another reason to take this theory into account is because it may be better to guess the general draft range of a person rather than wait until that person is slotted to a team with that positional need. I think as you go later in the draft, you should worry less and less about team need. Odds are, a second round pick will not do very much to solve it, especially later on. Trades usually are in the double digits, and maybe if you are thinking that a player is slipping too low, the odds are, they might be, so maybe you should have them slotted where a team could indeed make a trade. I did alright last year, but I kind of wish I cared less about positional application, because I believe I might have done even better. Just a tip that might help.

[jsm27Participant]

Thank you for this groundbreaking revelation.

 

Seriously though, trying to predict the draft is far from an exact science.  When I look at a mock draft, I expect to gain intelligence on a teams wants/needs and a rough idea of who they might pick.  The other thing I look to get from a mock draft is the general standing of prospects vs. each other, keeping in mind that positions might play a role in where they land on the mock (the second best PG might be slotted to go 20th, but that doesn’t mean he may not be a better player than the second best C, projected to go 5 places ahead).

[mikeyvthedonParticipant]

I realize what you WANT to get from a Mock. But, why is it called a "Mock Draft"? Because, you are trying to mock what is happening in the actual draft. I guess you are new to this site, but around this time of year, we get about 1000 people wanting us to critique their mock drafts. This is incredibly difficult to do, and their main criticism is, "So and so would never draft what’s his face". Well, trades are the ultimate equalizer.

Not to mention, that later on in the draft, you are usually better off choosing the best player available rather than trying to fill a "need" position. Just wanted to give people an idea that maybe will make them have a better MOCK Draft. If you want to know who someone’s favorite prospects are, and the best at whatever position, than looking at Mock Drafts is usually a pretty poor way of finding that out.

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