8 Deadly Thoughts on the Draft

Before I get started, let me say this: I love what the draft does to people. Every year, we have new members join around this time and everyone thinks that people want to see their mock drafts.. LoL.. Board looks like spam…

Anyway,

Deadly Thoughts:

1. I am excited about this, just like every year.  I cant wait to see that 2 inches on a vert can be the difference is a few milliion dollars.. Seems very crazy to me.  Crazy=Exciting

2. Unless there are some unexpected things going on with Beal, Barnes, or Gilchrist, I see 3 bigs going with the first 3 picks.  Davis is obviously the first player. Then I think Drummond and Robinson are both guys deserving of the number 2 pick but it is all about what the Bobcats need.  Drummond could become Alonzo Mounring and Robinson could become Amare Stoudmire.  So take your pick…

3. I dont see the Warriors making a their 7th pick. They are going to make a push to get Iggy, because he is a perfect fit with their team.  I could see them trading Thompson and the 7th pick for Iggy and the 15th pick with fillers.. They will be active on draft day because they are trying to become a contender by getting experienced players that know how to win. They dont want to develop rookies that might become servicable players on a championship team.  

4. I cant imagine the Rockets are going to be using their draft picks to get 2 rookies.  McHale is hell bent on getting a legit big man in Houston. I think that those picks could be used, with some of their players (Scola, Martin, Lee, Buddinger, Patterson), to bring in a big that will please Kevin. They have the midset that they need to become a contender and they think the first step in that direction is a big man.

5. The Celtics are going to have some work to do in order to put a team together between the end of this year and the start of the next. They have some draft picks and some players that have shown promise.  If they finsish off the Heat, I could see them resigning Allen and Garnett. They would be getting Jeff Green back from his heart surgery and they have 2 first round picks they could use to get a player to help them make another push at a championship.  If they play in the NBA Finals, I think they need to keep the team together, at a much cheaper price of course, and get some more players to help them stay in contention.  Another thing to watch for is them using Avery Bradly, the 21st, and the 22nd pick to try and get Austin Rivers.  Sounds a bit crazy but I would not be surprised at all.

6. Perry Jones, Moe Harkless, and Quincy Miller will all be drafted after the lottery picks.  I think teams are going to be super cautious about drafting guys with questionable futures. All of these guys have great potiental but they are high risk players.  All could turn into All-Star players but at the same time, all could become 12th men..

7. There are some very servicable players to be had late in the second round. Playes like Darius Johnson-Odom, Jae Crowder, Quincy Acey, and Tyshawn Taylor all have some pretty big question marks around them but all have won at high levels and all could be used by a contending team. Most of those players are stuck in between positions but have the grit and the knowledge of how to play basketball.  Winning teams want players that know how to win games.  Look for teams to pick players that have gone deep into March Madness late in the draft.

8. It isnt going to go like you think.. It never does.  There will be a surprise.  Someone will slip. Some team will make a big reach. An international player or 2 will make a surprise in the first round. There will be a second round steal and a first round bust.  Someone is going to lose their job for drafting a bad player and someone will look like they own a crystal ball. Futures will be decided.