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Draft projection models

Jmpasq
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Draft projection models

I saw this on the Knick board thought it was interesting
http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8242&sid=17222ed7d791b18cf83...

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Jmpasq
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Whats amazing is only 5

Whats amazing is only 5 players have a better 50% chance of being a starter according to this

Nerlens Noel

Otto Porter

Victor Oladipo

Trey Burke

Kentavious Caldwell Pope

I bet the guys high on Shabazz Muhammad wont like this ranking. 41st overall 0% of being a star

i'm jus so offended
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Damn

Nate Wolters huh? Prime example of sabermetrics not telling the whole story...and I like Nate a lot but come on now.

BasketBalAllan
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This fits what I said about

This fits what I said about the Kings targeting the BPA with Porter, Oladipo, or Burke.

DipoTime
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I think it's interesting that

I think it's interesting that Tony Mitchell has a 0% chance of being a star, a 5% chance of being a starter, and the highest percentage of busting at 26%, yet he is still 18th on their board lol

Other than that I can't argue too much with it and it is a cool way of setting things up

treytalkssports.com
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I love these kind of number

I love these kind of number systems in order to rank players, but this one seems weighted a little funny ...

Mike Muscala has a better chance at becoming a star than Muhammad, Adams, and Len?
Mike Muscala has the same chance at becoming a star as Bennett?

There are others that are more debatable, too.

I like the idea and the rating system. But it seems like the numbers should be tweaked.

I don't understand what stats he used, either. It looks to me like he only used Rebounding Rate as far as advanced statistics go. It looks like the rest were averages, which would be weighted heavily toward a prospect playing in mid-major conferences.

What about one that compares the averages, advanced stats, team rpi, and athleticism/size?

machu46
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According to this, Mike Bibby

According to this, Mike Bibby was one of the best prospects to ever come out lol

King Calucha
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What I like about this

What I like about this projection is that it's presented in the form of scenarios. So it's all a matter of probabilities. Just because Trey Burke has he highest star projection, it doesn't mean he will be.

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