This topic contains 14 replies, has 7 voices, and was last updated by AvatarAvatar King Calucha 10 years, 11 months ago.

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  • #49346
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    Jmpasq
    Participant

    I saw this on the Knick board thought it was interesting
    http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8242&sid=17222ed7d791b18cf83c3bef2a08463a

    Previous drafts

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  • #782922
    AvatarAvatar
    DipoTime
    Participant

    I think it’s interesting that Tony Mitchell has a 0% chance of being a star, a 5% chance of being a starter, and the highest percentage of busting at 26%, yet he is still 18th on their board lol

    Other than that I can’t argue too much with it and it is a cool way of setting things up

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  • #782990
    AvatarAvatar
    DipoTime
    Participant

    I think it’s interesting that Tony Mitchell has a 0% chance of being a star, a 5% chance of being a starter, and the highest percentage of busting at 26%, yet he is still 18th on their board lol

    Other than that I can’t argue too much with it and it is a cool way of setting things up

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  • #782916
    AvatarAvatar
    Jmpasq
    Participant

    Whats amazing is only 5 players have a better 50% chance of being a starter according to this

    Nerlens Noel

    Otto Porter

    Victor Oladipo

    Trey Burke

    Kentavious Caldwell Pope

    I bet the guys high on Shabazz Muhammad wont like this ranking. 41st overall 0% of being a star

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  • #782983
    AvatarAvatar
    Jmpasq
    Participant

    Whats amazing is only 5 players have a better 50% chance of being a starter according to this

    Nerlens Noel

    Otto Porter

    Victor Oladipo

    Trey Burke

    Kentavious Caldwell Pope

    I bet the guys high on Shabazz Muhammad wont like this ranking. 41st overall 0% of being a star

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  • #782918
    AvatarAvatar
    i’m jus so offended
    Participant

    Nate Wolters huh? Prime example of sabermetrics not telling the whole story…and I like Nate a lot but come on now.

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  • #782985
    AvatarAvatar
    i’m jus so offended
    Participant

    Nate Wolters huh? Prime example of sabermetrics not telling the whole story…and I like Nate a lot but come on now.

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  • #782920
    AvatarAvatar
    BasketBalAllan
    Participant

    This fits what I said about the Kings targeting the BPA with Porter, Oladipo, or Burke.

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  • #782988
    AvatarAvatar
    BasketBalAllan
    Participant

    This fits what I said about the Kings targeting the BPA with Porter, Oladipo, or Burke.

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  • #782984
    AvatarAvatar
    treytalkssports.com
    Participant

    I love these kind of number systems in order to rank players, but this one seems weighted a little funny …

    Mike Muscala has a better chance at becoming a star than Muhammad, Adams, and Len?
    Mike Muscala has the same chance at becoming a star as Bennett?

    There are others that are more debatable, too.

    I like the idea and the rating system. But it seems like the numbers should be tweaked.

    I don’t understand what stats he used, either. It looks to me like he only used Rebounding Rate as far as advanced statistics go. It looks like the rest were averages, which would be weighted heavily toward a prospect playing in mid-major conferences.

    What about one that compares the averages, advanced stats, team rpi, and athleticism/size?

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  • #783051
    AvatarAvatar
    treytalkssports.com
    Participant

    I love these kind of number systems in order to rank players, but this one seems weighted a little funny …

    Mike Muscala has a better chance at becoming a star than Muhammad, Adams, and Len?
    Mike Muscala has the same chance at becoming a star as Bennett?

    There are others that are more debatable, too.

    I like the idea and the rating system. But it seems like the numbers should be tweaked.

    I don’t understand what stats he used, either. It looks to me like he only used Rebounding Rate as far as advanced statistics go. It looks like the rest were averages, which would be weighted heavily toward a prospect playing in mid-major conferences.

    What about one that compares the averages, advanced stats, team rpi, and athleticism/size?

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  • #783119
    AvatarAvatar
    machu46
    Participant

    According to this, Mike Bibby was one of the best prospects to ever come out lol

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  • #783188
    AvatarAvatar
    machu46
    Participant

    According to this, Mike Bibby was one of the best prospects to ever come out lol

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  • #783128
    AvatarAvatar
    King Calucha
    Participant

    What I like about this projection is that it’s presented in the form of scenarios. So it’s all a matter of probabilities. Just because Trey Burke has he highest star projection, it doesn’t mean he will be.

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  • #783196
    AvatarAvatar
    King Calucha
    Participant

    What I like about this projection is that it’s presented in the form of scenarios. So it’s all a matter of probabilities. Just because Trey Burke has he highest star projection, it doesn’t mean he will be.

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