This topic contains 12 replies, has 5 voices, and was last updated by AvatarAvatar Hype Machine 10 years, 1 month ago.

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 3:38pm #63763
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    ExumInferno
    Participant

     That will save everyone a few minutes, mock drafts were not impacted as teams didn’t move up or down.

     

     

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:20pm #1063029
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    220
    Participant

     I don’t think I’ve ever seen the lottery not have any changes.

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:20pm #1062907
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    220
    Participant

     I don’t think I’ve ever seen the lottery not have any changes.

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:32pm #1062917
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    daggers818
    Participant

    Any Stats majors out there in our forum?  What are the odds of the ALL the teams maintaining their predicted order?  Kinda crazy, impossible I bet from a statistical standpoint?

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    • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:48pm #1062921
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      StephGoneSteph
      Participant

      Not as crazy as you might think- as they only draw the top three picks. The probability of Phil getting number one is 1/4, then LA #2 given that Phil got #1 is 199/750=.265, then Boston at #3 given the first two picks is 156/551=.28. So a little under 2% probability.

       

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    • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:48pm #1063043
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      StephGoneSteph
      Participant

      Not as crazy as you might think- as they only draw the top three picks. The probability of Phil getting number one is 1/4, then LA #2 given that Phil got #1 is 199/750=.265, then Boston at #3 given the first two picks is 156/551=.28. So a little under 2% probability.

       

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:32pm #1063039
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    daggers818
    Participant

    Any Stats majors out there in our forum?  What are the odds of the ALL the teams maintaining their predicted order?  Kinda crazy, impossible I bet from a statistical standpoint?

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:51pm #1062925
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    daggers818
    Participant

     Thanks for the explanation — still low odds but as you said not really that crazy.

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  • Posted on: Tue, 05/17/2016 - 4:51pm #1063047
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    daggers818
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     Thanks for the explanation — still low odds but as you said not really that crazy.

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  • Posted on: Wed, 05/18/2016 - 1:51am #1063197
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    Hitster
    Participant

     Very rarely the picks stay in the same order, almost defeats the idea of the draft lottery, I always like to see one team move up just to shake things up.

    I never mock draft until after the lottery so it doesn’t bother me.

     

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  • Posted on: Wed, 05/18/2016 - 1:51am #1063076
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    Hitster
    Participant

     Very rarely the picks stay in the same order, almost defeats the idea of the draft lottery, I always like to see one team move up just to shake things up.

    I never mock draft until after the lottery so it doesn’t bother me.

     

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  • Posted on: Wed, 05/18/2016 - 1:59am #1063199
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    Hype Machine

    Oddly…if a team with a 2% chance jumped up to #1 we would all think it was a major fluke.

    Yet the odds of the order staying the same is also 2% but no one is surprised.

     

     

     

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  • Posted on: Wed, 05/18/2016 - 1:59am #1063079
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    Hype Machine

    Oddly…if a team with a 2% chance jumped up to #1 we would all think it was a major fluke.

    Yet the odds of the order staying the same is also 2% but no one is surprised.

     

     

     

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