This topic contains 40 replies, has 14 voices, and was last updated by dbeal23 10 years, 10 months ago.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 9:38am #61198
SnowtaParticipantI was going to post a Timberwolves offseason recap/review, but didn’t really feel it was necessary becuase it’s not like they made any brilliant or bold moves. Basically, Flip and staff did what they should have done, didn’t overthink decisions, and put the team in a great position moving forward.
Lately I’ve been thinking a lot about what the rotation is going to look like. The position that reallly intrigues me is PF. With KG, Bjelica, Bennett, and Payne there’s a lot of bodies, but not a lot of proven NBA production (besides obviously KG). Add in the fact that Towns and Gorgui can play both C and PF and my head has been spinning trying to imagine how this is all going to work. What I decided to do is project what I’d like the minutes distribution to look like and then use each players per minute stats (estimates for rookies and realistic progression for young players) to come up with some statistical projections for the Wolves in the coming season. Here is what I came up with.
Pos – Player – MPG – PPG/RPG/APG
STARTERS
PG – Rubio – 32 – 10.5/5.8/8.9
SG – Wiggins – 32 – 17.3/4.6/2.2
SF – Muhammad – 26 – 15.4/4.9/1.4
PF – Garnett – 14 – 4.9/4.6/1.2
C – Towns – 26 – 11.6/7.6/2.2
BENCH
PG – Miller – 10 – 2.8/1.2/2.3
SG – Lavine – 22 – 9.0/2.7/3.1
SF – Kevin Martin – 22 – 13.1/2.3/1.5
PF – Bjelica – 20 – 8.3/5.6/1.4
C – Dieng – 20 – 6.5/5.7/1.4
PF – Payne – 16 – 4.6/3.6/0.7
I don’t have projections for Pek, Bennett, Tyus, and Prince. With Pek I’m not assuming he will be healthy. If he is, I’d assume he’d take Payne’s mins and Towns and Gorg would play some 4. Overall, I don’t have super high expectations record wise. If we end up with 30+ wins I’d be happy.
What do people think of these projections?
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:09am #1007184

sweaterflexParticipantThose are pretty on point, I would predict somewhere in the 25-30 win range, a lot depends on if the vets get traded. If not, I would speculate
MPG/PTS/REB/ASSISTS/PER
Starters
PG: Ricky Rubio 34/11/5/9/16
SG: Kevin Martin 25/15/2/2/15
SF: Andrew Wiggins 36/19/5/2/17
PF: Kevin Garnett 16/5/6/2/13
C: Nikola Pekovic 27/15/8/1/19
Bench
PG: Andre Miller 10/4/1/2/9
SG: Zach Lavine 20/9/2/3/14
SF: Shabazz Muhammed 25/14/5/1/19
PF: Gorgui Deng 15/6/7/1/16
PF: Bjelica 12/6/2/1/15
C: Karl Anthony Towns 25/12/8/2/17
Most likely multiple players will be traded.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:09am #1007323

sweaterflexParticipantThose are pretty on point, I would predict somewhere in the 25-30 win range, a lot depends on if the vets get traded. If not, I would speculate
MPG/PTS/REB/ASSISTS/PER
Starters
PG: Ricky Rubio 34/11/5/9/16
SG: Kevin Martin 25/15/2/2/15
SF: Andrew Wiggins 36/19/5/2/17
PF: Kevin Garnett 16/5/6/2/13
C: Nikola Pekovic 27/15/8/1/19
Bench
PG: Andre Miller 10/4/1/2/9
SG: Zach Lavine 20/9/2/3/14
SF: Shabazz Muhammed 25/14/5/1/19
PF: Gorgui Deng 15/6/7/1/16
PF: Bjelica 12/6/2/1/15
C: Karl Anthony Towns 25/12/8/2/17
Most likely multiple players will be traded.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:09am #1007186
herceg_bukuParticipantPekovic is not on Timberwolves or you forgot about him…
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:23am #1007194
SnowtaParticipantI mentioned him at the bottom. I love Pek, but I’m skeptical of an injury prone guy his size coming off an achilles injury…
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:23am #1007333
SnowtaParticipantI mentioned him at the bottom. I love Pek, but I’m skeptical of an injury prone guy his size coming off an achilles injury…
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:09am #1007325
herceg_bukuParticipantPekovic is not on Timberwolves or you forgot about him…
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:15am #1007190
Dazzling Dunks and Basketball BloopersParticipantI expect lavine to start and shabazz to come off the bench. A starting lineup of rubio, Wiggins, Muhammad, Garnett and towns will have issues with floor spacing.
I think they should attempt to trade or buy out both Martin and pekovic. Neither will do much for this team but get in the way of the young guys that need mins, and both still could provide some value to a contending team at this point in their careers.
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:25am #1007200
SnowtaParticipantI don’t know if Lavine is a better set shooter than Bazz. Bazz shot almost 40% on 3’s last year (given it was on just over 1 attempt per game). I think people forgot how good Wig and Bazz were together last year. When a team is forced to put their bigger wing defender on Bazz it creates a matchup nightmare with Wiggins.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:25am #1007339
SnowtaParticipantI don’t know if Lavine is a better set shooter than Bazz. Bazz shot almost 40% on 3’s last year (given it was on just over 1 attempt per game). I think people forgot how good Wig and Bazz were together last year. When a team is forced to put their bigger wing defender on Bazz it creates a matchup nightmare with Wiggins.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:15am #1007329
Dazzling Dunks and Basketball BloopersParticipantI expect lavine to start and shabazz to come off the bench. A starting lineup of rubio, Wiggins, Muhammad, Garnett and towns will have issues with floor spacing.
I think they should attempt to trade or buy out both Martin and pekovic. Neither will do much for this team but get in the way of the young guys that need mins, and both still could provide some value to a contending team at this point in their careers.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:23am #1007196
mcgee555ParticipantI don’t think you have predicted anything too outlandish. Just a couple things I would adjust, one being an increase in Garnett’s minutes. Considering he won’t be playing back to backs this year, I have a tough time believing his minutes will have much of a drop off at all. I bet he is right around 20 minutes again with less minutes coming from Payne/Bjelica.
The other thing being that it sounds like Kevin Martin is all but a lock to start next year. Muhammad’s post scoring will be of more use with the second unit than with the starters. Also a Rubio/Wiggins/Muhammad lineup creates a difficult spacing problem because none of the three have shown consistent perimeter shooting outside of the corner.
Otherwise about what I would expect.
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:31am #1007206
SnowtaParticipantVery good points. KG will probably play more especially at the end of the games since Flip has so much trust in him and he’s a vet. As far as the starting wing spots, the mins projections are more what I hope to see rather than what I think will happen. I agree K Mart will most likely start, but I have a soft spot for Bazz because he works his butt off and plays so hard. It would be cool if he got rewarded with a starting spot because I know that’s what he wants.
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:50am #1007214
mcgee555ParticipantI totally agree about Shabazz. He might be the most exciting player to watch on the Wolves because he is everywhere doing everything. He has gone leaps and bounds since his first NBA appearances and UCLA days. I love how he posts up smaller guards and hits the offensive glass hard. Don’t see that out of 3 men in the NBA much anymore. The addition of Andre Miller, one of the best post-up guards in the league, might help Shabazz more than anyone.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:50am #1007353
mcgee555ParticipantI totally agree about Shabazz. He might be the most exciting player to watch on the Wolves because he is everywhere doing everything. He has gone leaps and bounds since his first NBA appearances and UCLA days. I love how he posts up smaller guards and hits the offensive glass hard. Don’t see that out of 3 men in the NBA much anymore. The addition of Andre Miller, one of the best post-up guards in the league, might help Shabazz more than anyone.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:31am #1007345
SnowtaParticipantVery good points. KG will probably play more especially at the end of the games since Flip has so much trust in him and he’s a vet. As far as the starting wing spots, the mins projections are more what I hope to see rather than what I think will happen. I agree K Mart will most likely start, but I have a soft spot for Bazz because he works his butt off and plays so hard. It would be cool if he got rewarded with a starting spot because I know that’s what he wants.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:23am #1007335
mcgee555ParticipantI don’t think you have predicted anything too outlandish. Just a couple things I would adjust, one being an increase in Garnett’s minutes. Considering he won’t be playing back to backs this year, I have a tough time believing his minutes will have much of a drop off at all. I bet he is right around 20 minutes again with less minutes coming from Payne/Bjelica.
The other thing being that it sounds like Kevin Martin is all but a lock to start next year. Muhammad’s post scoring will be of more use with the second unit than with the starters. Also a Rubio/Wiggins/Muhammad lineup creates a difficult spacing problem because none of the three have shown consistent perimeter shooting outside of the corner.
Otherwise about what I would expect.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:30am #1007208

SubZeroParticipantI think Wiggins could potentially average 20 and 6, but I know that that’s a decent jump to make after your first year. I have a lot of faith in him. What do you think Towns’s defensive stats will look like? I don’t think 2 blocks and a little under a steal is too crazy to suggest, but I also have a lot of faith in him too
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:40am #1007212
SnowtaParticipantI actually included blocks and steals in my projections, but didn’t include them in the post. I had Towns at 1.8 blks and 0.7 stls.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:40am #1007351
SnowtaParticipantI actually included blocks and steals in my projections, but didn’t include them in the post. I had Towns at 1.8 blks and 0.7 stls.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 10:30am #1007347

SubZeroParticipantI think Wiggins could potentially average 20 and 6, but I know that that’s a decent jump to make after your first year. I have a lot of faith in him. What do you think Towns’s defensive stats will look like? I don’t think 2 blocks and a little under a steal is too crazy to suggest, but I also have a lot of faith in him too
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 11:40am #1007383
nill650Participantfirst off i don’t believe the roster will remain the way it is… i do believe if they can move him;rubio will be traded along with pekovic.
maybe not until later in the season, as that seems more likely.
but if not others will be released to make room for the plethora of young talent.
this team has as much upside as the bucks…if not more.
i won’t get into numbers/stats, but i expect with prince,miller and kg on the roster the young pups will improve at a faster rate than before they were signed.
I do not expect towns to live up to the expectations in yr one… but non the less will have a very productive rookie season only to be outshined by wiggins and the emergence of the real anthony bennett.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 11:40am #1007244
nill650Participantfirst off i don’t believe the roster will remain the way it is… i do believe if they can move him;rubio will be traded along with pekovic.
maybe not until later in the season, as that seems more likely.
but if not others will be released to make room for the plethora of young talent.
this team has as much upside as the bucks…if not more.
i won’t get into numbers/stats, but i expect with prince,miller and kg on the roster the young pups will improve at a faster rate than before they were signed.
I do not expect towns to live up to the expectations in yr one… but non the less will have a very productive rookie season only to be outshined by wiggins and the emergence of the real anthony bennett.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 1:12pm #1007399

HitsterParticipantVery sound predictions above guys, I’m wondering how the T-Wolves will handle KG next season, he is 39 years old now and had not been playing major minutes for the Nets over the last couple of years. Will they have a KG in the line up system and one without him as I don’t see him playing a load of back to back games given that he sat a fair few out for the Nets in recent years.
The T-Wolves won’t be likely pushing for any play off birth so overplaying KG would not make sense and they need to blood the younger guys to a certain extent. I fully believe KG should start any games he plays, he has an unbroken run going back nearly 20 years and as the T-Wolves greatest ever player, he deserves to keep this intact.
He could almost become a ceremonial starter as his value to the team is as a mentor/locker room leader especially for the likes of KAT.
KG must feel that he can still contribute as he could have easily taken a none playing role with the T-Wolves this season and maybe had an official retirement match.
A lot for the T-Wolves will depend on if Rubio stays sound as he can create and feed Wiggins, Lavine etc.
I can see them being a very uptempo team this coming season and really running the floor, KG would play defensive anchor and help to initate fast breaks by laying the ball off to the younger guys and let them do the running.
Fellow veteran Andre Miller will be a good guidance for Lavine and can be a useful playmaker for the 2nd unit.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 1:12pm #1007260

HitsterParticipantVery sound predictions above guys, I’m wondering how the T-Wolves will handle KG next season, he is 39 years old now and had not been playing major minutes for the Nets over the last couple of years. Will they have a KG in the line up system and one without him as I don’t see him playing a load of back to back games given that he sat a fair few out for the Nets in recent years.
The T-Wolves won’t be likely pushing for any play off birth so overplaying KG would not make sense and they need to blood the younger guys to a certain extent. I fully believe KG should start any games he plays, he has an unbroken run going back nearly 20 years and as the T-Wolves greatest ever player, he deserves to keep this intact.
He could almost become a ceremonial starter as his value to the team is as a mentor/locker room leader especially for the likes of KAT.
KG must feel that he can still contribute as he could have easily taken a none playing role with the T-Wolves this season and maybe had an official retirement match.
A lot for the T-Wolves will depend on if Rubio stays sound as he can create and feed Wiggins, Lavine etc.
I can see them being a very uptempo team this coming season and really running the floor, KG would play defensive anchor and help to initate fast breaks by laying the ball off to the younger guys and let them do the running.
Fellow veteran Andre Miller will be a good guidance for Lavine and can be a useful playmaker for the 2nd unit.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 1:58pm #1007411
RecoveringVegetarianParticipantHey Now!! I’m predicting Towns to have a shocking unbelievable surprising breathtaking incredible stunning 2 snaps,1 butt pat and a swirl Rookie year.. My stats for him will be 22 points-15rebounds-2.9 blocks-3 assists-59%fg..3rd team all nba.. T Wolves will get 8th seed…mark my words….Neg Now Give me points next year!!
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 1:58pm #1007272
RecoveringVegetarianParticipantHey Now!! I’m predicting Towns to have a shocking unbelievable surprising breathtaking incredible stunning 2 snaps,1 butt pat and a swirl Rookie year.. My stats for him will be 22 points-15rebounds-2.9 blocks-3 assists-59%fg..3rd team all nba.. T Wolves will get 8th seed…mark my words….Neg Now Give me points next year!!
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 3:15pm #1007433

skingzParticipantHe can average that in the dleague..you basically compared him to Blake griffin Anthony davis and big cuz. It took those guys several years to get #’s like that your boy has potential but don’t get ahead of yourself..13/8 sounds more like it
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 3:15pm #1007294

skingzParticipantHe can average that in the dleague..you basically compared him to Blake griffin Anthony davis and big cuz. It took those guys several years to get #’s like that your boy has potential but don’t get ahead of yourself..13/8 sounds more like it
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 3:25pm #1007437

BallerScriptParticipantRubio – 13ppg/7apg/2spg
LaVine – 9ppg/4apg/2016 Dunk Champ
Wiggins – 17ppg/6rpg/2apg
Garnett – 7ppg/6rpg/1bpg
Pekovic – 13ppg/8rpg/Traded by 16-17
Towns – 11ppg/7rpg/2bpg
Jones – 5ppg/5apg/1spg
Dieng – 10ppg/6rpg/Breakout after allstar weekend
Miller – 4ppg/5apg/7 lobs per game
Muhhamed – 11ppg/4rpg/1spg
Prince – 10ppg/5rpg/2apg
Martin – 16ppg/4apg/4rpg
Payne – 5ppg/5rpg/1bpg
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 3:25pm #1007298

BallerScriptParticipantRubio – 13ppg/7apg/2spg
LaVine – 9ppg/4apg/2016 Dunk Champ
Wiggins – 17ppg/6rpg/2apg
Garnett – 7ppg/6rpg/1bpg
Pekovic – 13ppg/8rpg/Traded by 16-17
Towns – 11ppg/7rpg/2bpg
Jones – 5ppg/5apg/1spg
Dieng – 10ppg/6rpg/Breakout after allstar weekend
Miller – 4ppg/5apg/7 lobs per game
Muhhamed – 11ppg/4rpg/1spg
Prince – 10ppg/5rpg/2apg
Martin – 16ppg/4apg/4rpg
Payne – 5ppg/5rpg/1bpg
0- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 5:45pm #1007467

SubZeroParticipantSo you think the Wolves will average 131 PPG? Lol
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 5:45pm #1007328

SubZeroParticipantSo you think the Wolves will average 131 PPG? Lol
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 8:49pm #1007493

Anton123ParticipantThough some of swaggimal’s PPG averages seem a little high, they don’t necessarily mean that the Wolves will average 131 PPG. Garnett and Pekovic may both play under 40 games, Martin and Rubio (injury prone) and Miller and Prince (old) might miss a lot as well. So in their absence the other guys will have to score more and it will make their averages a lot higher.
Simply adding up individual PPG in a season doesn’t add up to the teams PPG. For example, if you add up the PPG of the often injured Nuggets’ players last year (excluding Barton and Lauvergne who were aqcuired mid-season) – you will get 130+ PPG as well.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 8:49pm #1007354

Anton123ParticipantThough some of swaggimal’s PPG averages seem a little high, they don’t necessarily mean that the Wolves will average 131 PPG. Garnett and Pekovic may both play under 40 games, Martin and Rubio (injury prone) and Miller and Prince (old) might miss a lot as well. So in their absence the other guys will have to score more and it will make their averages a lot higher.
Simply adding up individual PPG in a season doesn’t add up to the teams PPG. For example, if you add up the PPG of the often injured Nuggets’ players last year (excluding Barton and Lauvergne who were aqcuired mid-season) – you will get 130+ PPG as well.
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- Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 4:24pm #1007455
BiggysmallsParticipantI’ll play
Player-MPG-PPG-RPG-APG
Rubio-31-10.5-4.5-9.0—if he plays 65 games thats a plus.
Martin-29-17.3-3.1-2.5—hopefully we feed him, boost his stock and trade him to a contender
Wiggins-36-20.5-4.9-3.3—needs to take the next step, not jut scoring but make winning plays
Garnett-16-4.8-4.8-1.9—hopefully he plays like 30 games and we can forcefeed Payne/Bejelica
Towns-27-11.8-7.4-2.0—hopefully he follows the Wiggins track, struggle initially and just build as the season goes
Miller-10-3.8-1.5-2.7—thats where my fingers went, for no apparent reason
Lavine-24-10.6-3.3-3.1—he needs to become a complete player, not just an SC top 10 guy
Bazzy-20-10.8-4.6-0.9—just stay healthy, improve the 3 ball and try to defend
Bjelica-17-6.7-5.0-2.2—no clue what to expect, so I’m setting the expectations low
Dieng-22-8.4-7.3-1.4—he’ll probably play a fair amount. Want to see him play better in limited minutes, he played alright when he got a lot of minutes, really struggled when he didn’t play as much.
Pek—not banking on him giving them anything. Whatever he does is a bonus as long as he isn’t blocking Towns/Dieng/Payne
Payne—no clue what to expect. Would love to see him not shoot so many jump shots. I know he fancies himself a 4 man, but it’s not illegal to go in the paint.
Jones—hopefully he can have like a half season redshirt and start to crack the rotation sometime in January or so. I think he’ll be a good backup PG.
Prince—don’t care, he’s old.
Bennett—anything is more than what he did last year. Kind of like Payne, needs to get his beefy azz in the paint.
0 - Posted on: Thu, 08/13/2015 - 4:24pm #1007316
BiggysmallsParticipantI’ll play
Player-MPG-PPG-RPG-APG
Rubio-31-10.5-4.5-9.0—if he plays 65 games thats a plus.
Martin-29-17.3-3.1-2.5—hopefully we feed him, boost his stock and trade him to a contender
Wiggins-36-20.5-4.9-3.3—needs to take the next step, not jut scoring but make winning plays
Garnett-16-4.8-4.8-1.9—hopefully he plays like 30 games and we can forcefeed Payne/Bejelica
Towns-27-11.8-7.4-2.0—hopefully he follows the Wiggins track, struggle initially and just build as the season goes
Miller-10-3.8-1.5-2.7—thats where my fingers went, for no apparent reason
Lavine-24-10.6-3.3-3.1—he needs to become a complete player, not just an SC top 10 guy
Bazzy-20-10.8-4.6-0.9—just stay healthy, improve the 3 ball and try to defend
Bjelica-17-6.7-5.0-2.2—no clue what to expect, so I’m setting the expectations low
Dieng-22-8.4-7.3-1.4—he’ll probably play a fair amount. Want to see him play better in limited minutes, he played alright when he got a lot of minutes, really struggled when he didn’t play as much.
Pek—not banking on him giving them anything. Whatever he does is a bonus as long as he isn’t blocking Towns/Dieng/Payne
Payne—no clue what to expect. Would love to see him not shoot so many jump shots. I know he fancies himself a 4 man, but it’s not illegal to go in the paint.
Jones—hopefully he can have like a half season redshirt and start to crack the rotation sometime in January or so. I think he’ll be a good backup PG.
Prince—don’t care, he’s old.
Bennett—anything is more than what he did last year. Kind of like Payne, needs to get his beefy azz in the paint.
0 - Posted on: Fri, 08/14/2015 - 4:15am #1007410
dbeal23ParticipantMy projection is if Anthony Bennet Doesnt get traded, he will let childhood obesity get the best of him, some popeyes, a little KFC, 12 inch sub, and 3 big macs later and he will find him self in a food coma. Marks my words.
0 - Posted on: Fri, 08/14/2015 - 4:15am #1007548
dbeal23ParticipantMy projection is if Anthony Bennet Doesnt get traded, he will let childhood obesity get the best of him, some popeyes, a little KFC, 12 inch sub, and 3 big macs later and he will find him self in a food coma. Marks my words.
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