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With so many unknowns, 2009 has been one of the most difficult
drafts to project as no one has any idea what Memphis will do (including them)
at 2, which will have a direct effect on the picks after it. So basically go
ahead and tear up you mock drafts now… With so many teams looking to make
deals, projecting the draft has become increasingly difficult. Here’s our best
effort to forecast the first round… for now. To create your own mock draft
and compete for a Playstation 3, click to play Draft
Day Challenge
.

1.

Blake
Griffin

The Clippers have a brand new training facility and Blake
Griffin is genuinely excited about leaving Oklahoma and moving to Los
Angeles. He’s got a youthful exuberance which hopefully can inspire a
new attitude from a club with a long standing losing atmosphere around
it.
2.
Hasheem
Thabeet
The Grizzlies are unofficially on the clock and with Hasheem
Thabeet missing his workout with them (shoulder injury), there’s now even
more intrigue with this pick. A likely scenario appears to be that someone
will move up to this pick for Rubio. Sacramento is interested and so are
a number of other teams. Grizzlies owner Michael Heisley could influence
them to hold onto the pick and take Thabeet, but Memphis could trade down
and still land him. Call this a domino pick.
3.
James
Harden
OKC’s brass plays things close to the vest making it tough
to know what they’re thinking. If available, Rubio makes a lot of sense
for them, but then there’s the Westbrook factor and whether or not taking
Rubio would be disrespecting him in his mind. The small market team needs
to keep their biggest stars (Durant and Westbrook) happy any way possible.
A nucleus of Westbrook, Harden, Durant and Green would be tough to keep
out of the playoffs for long. Rubio and Curry are also possibilities here.
4.
Ricky
Rubio
Rubio made good after missing his initial scheduled workout
with Sacramento. On Tuesday a hearing decided that the buyout issue will
not be resolved until October. So there still has to be fear about Rubio’s
ability to get out of his buyout and play in the NBA next year. If his
Spanish team Joventut tells him they will drop his buyout in half or 3/4
if he returns for one more season, that might be his best option. Could
the fear of this happening scare some teams off? Could Rubio end up in
New York, where he’d like to land all along? Stay tuned.
5.
Stephen
Curry
The trade that sent Foye to the Wizards gives the T-Wolves
back to back picks. This was a good trade for Washington as Foye is an
established pro and a rising star. The player taken at this pick will
not be a sure bet, and Washington was able to unload a number of contracts
in the process. With a pick at 18, and a number of PGs available later
in the draft, it’s unlikely the Wolves will take two guards (Curry and
Evans) here. If one is gone, they likely take the other and the remaining
bigman between Hill and Thabeet.
6.
Jordan
Hill
If Memphis trades the #2 pick it will be a team moving
up for Rubio, and Thabeet could slide all the way to 5-6. Thabeet would
be a perfect match for Minnesota, as he could be platooned along with
the bigman combination of Big Al and Kevin Love, giving them legitimate
size at the center position and much needed defense. Hill would give them
another athletic bigman to team with Big Al and Kevin Love.
7.

Brandon
Jennings
Golden State could look at Jordan Hill if he falls to them,
but as a skinny 4, he sort of duplicates their young tandem of Brandan
Wright and Anthony Randolph. Jennings has as much raw potential as anyone
outside of Blake Griffin and would be an excellent match with Monte Ellis
in Nellie’s up tempo offense. Flynn or DeRozan are also possibilities
here.
8.
Tyreke
Evans
The Knicks shopping list includes (1) Stephen Curry, (2)
Jordan Hill, and if neither of those two are available (3) Tyreke Evans
is next on the list. Rubio might be their real target, but could be out
of reach for them. The Knicks are pushing hard to move up to 5 to insure
they get one of these guys. Rubio is likely their #1 target. Gerald Henderson
has jumped into the mix as a possibility here, particularly if someone
moves up to 2 to take Rubio, making Evans at 5 or 6 likely.
9.
DeMar
DeRozan
The Raptors are said to be deciding between a number of
players here with DeRozan and Holiday high on their list. If DeRozan is
here, look for him to be the choice.
10.
Jonny
Flynn
Trading Richard Jefferson allows the Bucks to resign both
Charlie Villanueva and Ramon Sessions this off season. If Flynn goes 7th,
the Bucks will likely decide between Jennings and Flynn. DeRozan is also
a possibility here if Toronto goes in another direction.
11.
Gerald
Henderson
The Nets appear to be in great position to grab a player
that falls, similar to last year when nobody wanted Brook Lopez and he
fell into their laps at 10. The Nets are very high on Henderson and will
consider him at 11 if he’s available.
12.

Tyler
Hansbrough
MJ and Larry Brown appear to have a different philosophy
on the draft. MJ wanted Lopez last year, but Brown convinced him to take
Augustin. Neither has much patience for players that aren’t ready to contribute.
Hansbrough has the UNC connection plus the ability to come in and contribute
immediately. If Henderson is available he also makes a lot of sense, despite
being a Duke player.
13.
Earl
Clark
DeJuan Blair is still a possibility, but with concerns
about Blair’s knees, they may decide to go in another direction. A versatile,
athletic forward that can play both positions like Clark would offer a
lot of value at their pick.
14.
James
Johnson
There’s a chance that either Flynn or Jennings slips to
the Suns at 14. James Johnson is a player high on their list. If Indiana
takes a PG, JJ probably goes here. Johnson would be an excellent pick.
Johnson may have scared off some teams with his combine weight (257 lbs),
however not many players are as polished and ready to contribute as he
is.
15.

BJ
Mullens
Trading away Billups was essentially giving up trying to
win for a few years, but the team is in tremendous cap shape now and can
start to reload for the future. Joe Dumars can afford to look for a long
term player here. Rumors swirled around Daye and this pick, however Dumars
is too smart for that. Mullens is the type of guy whose career may be
affected by the team that he lands with. Detroit would be a great situation
for him.
16.
Terrence
Williams
Blair remains a real possibility here as he’s one of the
Bulls few targets. If gone, Terrence WIlliams offers them an athletic
defender and insurance with Ben Gordon’s future with the team up in the
air.
17.
Ty
Lawson
Philly played their best basketball after Brand went down,
as their racehorses were able to get out on the break and run. Lawson
fits in very well with their speed and athleticism. Unfortunately, Brand
doesn’t. Philly will likely have a number of PGs to select from, but Lawson
is said to be a guy they like.
18.
Jrue
Holiday
Holiday makes sense to a team that isn’t as close to contending
as he’s not seen as a NBA ready guy but a player with potential down the
road. With Randy Foye, the team already has a point guard who can score.
Holiday isn’t much of a scorer but solid in other areas.
19.
Jeff
Teague
Atlanta’s first order of business this offseason will likely
be resigning Mike Bibby. Without him they fall back into lotto land. Teague
will provide an excellent back up to groom behind Bibby allowing him to
take his time learning the position at the NBA level before being expected
to take over the club.
20.
Chase
Budinger
The Jazz appear to be losing CJ Miles, so adding some
depth with a wing like Budinger makes sense. Budinger offers experience
and shooting ability plus he’s a player that should be able to come in
and contribute something right away, which for a playoff team works well.
21.

Eric
Maynor
The Hornets could use a back up for Paul, and while the
21st pick isn’t generally where you want to take a reserve, Maynor has
starter potential and could develop into a valuable asset learning under
Paul.
22.
DeJuan
Blair
Rick Carlisle likes players with a defined skill, and Blair
has a NBA skill with his excellent rebounding ability. Blair appears to
be falling lately with teams concerned about his physicals. He could still
go as high as 13 to Indiana or 16 to Chicago, but it is beginning to look
more likely that he will slip into the 20s.
23.
Omri
Casspi
Casspi is set to become the first ever Israeli player to
play in the NBA. His toughness and experience should give him a chance
to contribute immediately.
24.
Victor
Claver
The Blazers are very high on Victor Claver and may not
take the risk that he will fall to them at 33. They are rumored to be
shopping this pick and would also like to trade up for a pick in the lottery
if possible, with Curry being the likely target. Claver works with their
salary situation as they could keep this pick off the books for a season
until they’re able to resign Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge in 2010.
25.

Wayne
Ellington
Oklahoma City may end up moving this pick. Ellington is
a bit of a poor man’s Russell Westbrook. He lacks the speed and athleticism,
but is a better shooter. He would give this team yet another offensive
weapon.
26.
Toney
Douglas
While the Bulls don’t exactly need a point guard with Derrick
Rose in the fold, there’s a good chance they trade out of this pick. Joe
Dumars is desperately trying to pick up a late first rounder to take Douglas
and this figures to be one of the picks in play, if not #25 or #29.
27.
Taj
Gibson
Gibson is a long, athletic forward, but teams have to question
his ability to add strength at his age (he turns 24 on Wednesday). Regardless,
his excellent post skills and 7-4 wingspan make him an intriguing option
in a draft devoid of quality bigs. Josh Heytvelt is another post player
who could benefit from the lack of size in this draft and find a spot
in the late first.
28.
Jonas
Jerebko
The Timberwolves are one of a few teams that are high on
Jerebko and will consider taking him late in the first round. Unlike some
other Europeans (Claver), Jerebko is ready to play in the NBA next year
and would actually prefer to go in the first round. Jerebko could go anywhere
from 23 to late 30s.
29.
Derrick
Brown
There’s a good chance the Lakers will get rid of this pick.
If they hold onto it, look for them to take a player such as Claver that
they can leave over in Europe. They will be trying to resign Ariza and
Odom this offseason, so every penny will count. Brown will give some team
a steal in the late first round as he could go as high as late teens.
30.

DaJuan Summers
Picking at 30, it will be tough for the Cavs to add much
help. Luckily this is actually a draft with some solid depth. Summers
is a guy who could have developed into a lottery pick with one more year
at Georgetown. He’s a specimen who shows potential as a scorer with nice
shooting ability, which would be a helpful addition for LeBron and company.
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8 Comments

  1. Minny will move up to #2
    ^The third trade is Fabricio Oberto to Detroit for Amir Johnson.

    Anyway Hill and Curry? I thought Minnesota was smitten with Tyreke Evans?

    They’ll likely trade the #6 along with either the #18/#26 to get to #2

    They are in Heavy need of a Center to accompany Al Jefferson and move him to the 4.

    • Yeah they need a Center
      Brewer, Corey
      Brown, Bobby (FA)
      Cardinal, Brian
      Carney, Rodney (FA)
      Collins, Jason (FA)
      Gomes, Ryan (C)
      Jefferson, Al (C)
      Love, Kevin
      Madsen, Mark
      Ollie, Kevin (FA)
      Pecherov, Oleksiy
      Smith, Craig
      Songaila, Darius
      Telfair, Sebastian
      Thomas, Etan
      Williams, Shelden (FA)

      Jason Collins and Etan Thomas as a starting center for your franchise? Think about it.

      “so draft the two best players available when they pick – don’t draft for need, draft for talent.”

      If they drafted for talent like last year, then they’ll lose this year too. Clearly OJ Mayo would’ve been a better pick than Kevin Love last year because how he would’ve fit into Minnesota’s roster last year forming a Trio in AL, FOYE and OJ.

      Although both Love and Mayo had successful rookie campaigns, one might have had a better season if Minny didn’t trade on draft night. And the “DON’T DRAFT FOR NEED vs. DRAFTING TALENT” statement isn’t applicable to all teams. You have to weigh your options and feel out which is the best decision for your team.

      example: ATLANTA drafting Marvin Williams over Chris Paul (Drafted on Talent)
      PORTLAND drafting Sam Bowie over Michael Jordan (Drafted on Need IMO)

  2. Aran, the wolves will not
    Aran, the wolves will not pass on Evans, if he’s there. They are enamored with him. They traded Randy Foye to open up a spot for him.

    the wolves have had enough of undersized guards. give us a 6’5 BEAST

  3. Atlanta drafted on stupidity
    Even as a UNC fan, it was as clear as day for me that Chris Paul was more talented than Marvin Williams.

    I agree with the other thoughts, esp. on Minnesota needing a center. Really, they need a shot-blocking center. Al Jefferson, as good as he is, is a 4 playing a 5’s position, and his team suffers at the defensive end as a result.

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