Tier I: The Franchise-Changer (Similar Expectations: Kevin Durant, Greg Oden, Carmelo Anthony)
Tier II: The Potential All-Stars (Similar Expectations: Al Horford, OJ Mayo, Tyrus Thomas)
Tier III: The Solid Proven Talent (Similar Expectations: Brandon Roy, Shane Battier, Lamarcus Aldridge, Adam Morrison)
Tier IV: The Upside Group (Similar Expectations: Gerald Green, Shaun Livingston, Russell Westbrook, Josh Smith)
Tier V: The Lower Upside Group (Similar Expectations: Jameer Nelson, JJ Redick, Rodney Carney, Danny Granger)
Tier VI: The Projects (Similar Expectations: Andiris Biedrins, Patrick O'Bryant, Saer Sene)
i dont think that he can go under proven talent...i think hes more upside then proven
based on the NBA players current skill or what they were coming into draft? I hope it was the latter because Adam morrison is not a proven talent in the NBA even though thats what they called him out of college
I'm getting worked on this post...nevertheless.
- I tend to think Jordan Hill is a relatively known quantity at this point. He did drop 18 and 11 last season, as a junior. Him, Stephen Curry and Earl Clark are probably the hardest to categorize, but I think you know by now the type of player you are getting out of Hill and Curry, but Clark is still a wild card.
- The "Similar Expectations" are meant to be compared to the expectations on those players when they were drafted, and are used to show the wide range of possible outcomes.
Tiers I and II are pretty well set in stone, it would seem, but I do agree that there is still a lot of movement and unpredictability in the tiers below that. However, I think, no matter how they are ranked, most of the players in the first round territory seem to fit pretty neatly into these categories.
Lv 1 ( Franchise Changer)
Lv2 ( All star potential)
Lv3 ( Solid Starters now)
Lv4 ( off the bench)
i would put more...but you get the picture.
thanks for clearing things up good post my only disagreement is that I think Clark and James Johnson dont belong in upside you pretty much know what your gonna get with them
btw i dont really know numerals well but im pretty sure you skipped tier 5/tier V
Clearly, you know the numerals better than I do...good catch.
I think Clark and Johnson are really big question marks right now. Going into the draft, they really remind me of guys like Rodney White, Julian Wright, Marrese Speights or even Rajon Rondo. They certainly have NBA talent and some level of college success, but I think they are higher risk/reward picks than some of the other guys because they've really never been the top player on their team.
I could see them both being either borderline All-Star caliber players or end of bench guys with in 3 years.