This topic contains 42 replies, has 15 voices, and was last updated by AvatarAvatar Captain L 12 years ago.

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  • #57195
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    lolyouth
    Participant

     Are you kidding me? What in the world?

    Don’t get me wrong, I actually like Gordon Hayward. He is a good player. Only problem is, he’s not a GREAT player. Max offers should be awarded to GREAT players.

    Also, did the Hornets forget that LANCE STEPHENSON is still available? I know he has his faults, but you can’t argue about his game or fierce competitveness. I’d rather have someone who will do anything to win, than a slacker you have to create new ways to motivate.

    Specifically the Hornets need perimeter shooting, and Lance Stephenson’s all around game would fit Charlotte like a glove. Lance can do WAY more than he even showed in Indiana because he had to defer there. In Charlotte he can have a lot more freedom and control, and be more of an offensive focus, plus he does all the little things with his overall game. Gordon Hayward’s shooting numbers went down every year. He had total control last year, and could do whatever he wanted, and had those numbers (nice, but not star player nice). Had Lance been on that Utah, team he’d have better numbers no question.

    Why do I even like/follow this team? Don’t get me wrong, they had a good draft with Vonleh falling to them and picking up a good scorer (somebody besides Jefferson has to score, specifically on the perimeter) in Hairston. However, a max offer for Hayward just isn’t worth it. In a few years we can totally see him being in trade talks as Charlotte just trys to get rid of a bad contract for cap space.

    To recap:

    • Lance Stephenson is the better player between him and Hayward, and deserves a max before Hayward.
    • Hayward isn’t a max-contract player. Good, but not great.

     

     

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  • #933973
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    druneave3
    Participant

    Lance comes with issues both on and off the court. Hayward, by all indications, is the complete opposite. Sure Hayward makes mistakes on the court but not in the fashion Lance does with his downright stupid play at times trying to be fancy/spectacular. Teams are hesitant right now because if these reasons, but the way this market is going he is still going to get paid. There is no denying his talents.  If he matures on and off the court he will no question be a better player than Gordon Hayward. 

    Chicago would be the perfect place for Lance. The culture there would help him a lot. Indiana obviously had a troubled locker room and he could possibly be a main reason for that, but he had some help from PG, Hibbert, and the coach can’t without some blame in that culture he allowed. I heard one analyst say Vogel went from a top 7 coach in the league to just another guy. I’m not sure how good Vogel is but Thibs could change a young 23 year old who is a really talented versatile player. I think they will get out bid, cause eventually he will get paid, but Lance and Chicago would be a good fit. 

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    • #933989
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      druneave3
      Participant

       Hey it might even be the Hornets who give him big $$ after the Jazz match for Hayward. 

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    • #934117
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      druneave3
      Participant

       Hey it might even be the Hornets who give him big $$ after the Jazz match for Hayward. 

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  • #934101
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    druneave3
    Participant

    Lance comes with issues both on and off the court. Hayward, by all indications, is the complete opposite. Sure Hayward makes mistakes on the court but not in the fashion Lance does with his downright stupid play at times trying to be fancy/spectacular. Teams are hesitant right now because if these reasons, but the way this market is going he is still going to get paid. There is no denying his talents.  If he matures on and off the court he will no question be a better player than Gordon Hayward. 

    Chicago would be the perfect place for Lance. The culture there would help him a lot. Indiana obviously had a troubled locker room and he could possibly be a main reason for that, but he had some help from PG, Hibbert, and the coach can’t without some blame in that culture he allowed. I heard one analyst say Vogel went from a top 7 coach in the league to just another guy. I’m not sure how good Vogel is but Thibs could change a young 23 year old who is a really talented versatile player. I think they will get out bid, cause eventually he will get paid, but Lance and Chicago would be a good fit. 

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  • #933977
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    UnbiasedObserver
    Participant

    Were in the softest era the NBA has ever seen. Where Max contracts are handed out like candy to anybody and players are expected to be paid like that, and players want to be buddy buddy and play with each other instead of against each other. *cough Melo cough*

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    • #934173
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      Conezd
      Participant

       I realize this is the popular thought of most people nowadays but by in large these statements you’ve made are completely false. First of all, max contracts are not just handed out like "candy" as you put it. Every team is on the same strict cap limitations. This year the cap is roughly $63 million dollars. That pretty much only affords each team one or two "max" contracts and quite a few teams don’t have one. Also, as mentioned in this thread by another poster, "max" doesn’t mean 20-25 million dollars. It’s usually in the 14-16 million dollar range which isn’t ridiculous if you account for the players actual production, his presumed potential to get better, his age and also how much money the owner and team make. So, let’s not assume these teams just give out all their money for no reason. None of the nba owners/teams would give out 45-50$ mil to a player they didn’t think would earn it. Opinions just differ on how people see potential and fit. Second point, this nonsense about players wanting to be buddy buddy. Also not true. How many times has that scenario actually come true? Maybe a couple and it has only been affective for one team and that’s Miami. The Kobe, Dwight, Nash situation was a debocle to say the least and who else has even pulled it off? Even when that LA Lakers team some 10 years ago tried to grab The Mailman, and GP to form a supergroup, it didn’t end in a title. And obviously these guys want to win. Playing with other high calibre players has been and always will be a huge draw for free agents. It just so happens that 4 or 5 of the best players in the nba right now are from the same draft class and have been playing with and against one another for about 15 years. Of course they have built friendships. 

      I think thaat no matter if you put a super team together, it’s not guaranteed that you win, take this past season for example. So it’s a big risk to pay out a bunch of money to the big names cause history has shown more tes than not that it doesn’t work.  

       

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    • #934045
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      Conezd
      Participant

       I realize this is the popular thought of most people nowadays but by in large these statements you’ve made are completely false. First of all, max contracts are not just handed out like "candy" as you put it. Every team is on the same strict cap limitations. This year the cap is roughly $63 million dollars. That pretty much only affords each team one or two "max" contracts and quite a few teams don’t have one. Also, as mentioned in this thread by another poster, "max" doesn’t mean 20-25 million dollars. It’s usually in the 14-16 million dollar range which isn’t ridiculous if you account for the players actual production, his presumed potential to get better, his age and also how much money the owner and team make. So, let’s not assume these teams just give out all their money for no reason. None of the nba owners/teams would give out 45-50$ mil to a player they didn’t think would earn it. Opinions just differ on how people see potential and fit. Second point, this nonsense about players wanting to be buddy buddy. Also not true. How many times has that scenario actually come true? Maybe a couple and it has only been affective for one team and that’s Miami. The Kobe, Dwight, Nash situation was a debocle to say the least and who else has even pulled it off? Even when that LA Lakers team some 10 years ago tried to grab The Mailman, and GP to form a supergroup, it didn’t end in a title. And obviously these guys want to win. Playing with other high calibre players has been and always will be a huge draw for free agents. It just so happens that 4 or 5 of the best players in the nba right now are from the same draft class and have been playing with and against one another for about 15 years. Of course they have built friendships. 

      I think thaat no matter if you put a super team together, it’s not guaranteed that you win, take this past season for example. So it’s a big risk to pay out a bunch of money to the big names cause history has shown more tes than not that it doesn’t work.  

       

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  • #934105
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    UnbiasedObserver
    Participant

    Were in the softest era the NBA has ever seen. Where Max contracts are handed out like candy to anybody and players are expected to be paid like that, and players want to be buddy buddy and play with each other instead of against each other. *cough Melo cough*

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  • #933979
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    NeggedNoelSaric

    only if the had enough to get both players they would be a threat in the east.

    neal,henderson,bismack,mkg,luke, could all be moved in any combo and or along with picks.

    I think they can land lance still yes they overpayed for him terribly but if hes worth around 10 to 12 hornets have to pay extra because their not a free agent destination.

    hornets will be phone to watch if lance wants 10 mill I would find a way to get it for him you already took Hayward no noteable star will come why not get lance you now have one up on the pacers.

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  • #934107
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    NeggedNoelSaric

    only if the had enough to get both players they would be a threat in the east.

    neal,henderson,bismack,mkg,luke, could all be moved in any combo and or along with picks.

    I think they can land lance still yes they overpayed for him terribly but if hes worth around 10 to 12 hornets have to pay extra because their not a free agent destination.

    hornets will be phone to watch if lance wants 10 mill I would find a way to get it for him you already took Hayward no noteable star will come why not get lance you now have one up on the pacers.

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  • #933987
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    Tyrober
    Participant

     The term max scares people off, but he isn’t getting 20 million plus. He is only getting 15-16 million a year which does sound a little high for him, but that is what it takes to steal him away from another team. If they offered what most believe he is worth, 11- 13 million, then the Jazz match it and the Hornets miss out on a really good player. The Hornets are also in a small market and those teams typically have to over pay for guys as well. I really like Hayward as a player and even though the Hornets did over pay him by a couple million a season that is what it would have taken to get him away from the Jazz and they still match it as well. 

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    • #934159
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      tuck243
      Participant

      If you want to go strictly on production and efficiency then you have to take the year before numbers for Hayward (which is an issue, but more on that later)   With those numbers on one of the worse teams in the league Hayward is maybe a 4th option with a chance at 3rd on a championship team, hell playoff team…  That’s role player-esque…  You don’t pay that type of player $16 Million per year….  Take Kevin Love for example, he’s on a terrible team, but his numbers inflated or not is still All-Star worthy…  $15 Million is what he makes a year…  Gordan Hayward isn’t worth $12 Million…  He’s worth $8 and if a team wanting to sign him, $12 Million is the cut off…  Anything more is grossly overpaid…  That’s paying him double than what he’s worth at $16 per…

      People talking as if it’s fine because these teams have cap room…  What about 2-3 years down the line and one of your rookies get All-Star good?  Y’all in contention and need to add a decent role player? That $4-6 Million a year could’ve went to that player instead it’s wasted on Gordon "freaking" Hayward?  Really? Look at the Lakers and Kobe…  They could have signed him to $20 Million a year and added an extra $4.5 Million to their cap room and signed a decent player as well as Melo…  Now, they have to manuever contracts to get that done…  When signing players you have to take all that into consideration…  Especially to lengthy contracts… 

      Salt City Hoops did an interesting article on Haywards preformance over a 4 year span…  He compared him to other players that had similar issues and how they panned out…

      http://saltcityhoops.com/gordon-haywards-shooting-s-a-fleeting-dip-or-a-worrying-trend/

      The biggest issue for me with Gordon is that he got to have the ball in his hands to do anything efficiently… Something that his biggest fans are blindly not seeing…  Look at his shot distrubution and the percentages…  He’s not the floor spreader that people think as he shot 34% on catch and shoot situations…  That has nothing to do with being the #1 option on a team (like he claimed), it shows how inconsistent he is…   That’s not a guy that you pay $15.75 Million average to…  He’s not worth it especially coming off one of his worse years efficiency wise…  

       

      Points Per GameFG%
      Drives2.840.9%
      Close Shots0.643.2%
      Catch and Shoot4.134.7%
      Pull Up3.7

       

       

      39.8%

       

       

       

       

       

         

       

       

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    • #934031
      AvatarAvatar
      tuck243
      Participant

      If you want to go strictly on production and efficiency then you have to take the year before numbers for Hayward (which is an issue, but more on that later)   With those numbers on one of the worse teams in the league Hayward is maybe a 4th option with a chance at 3rd on a championship team, hell playoff team…  That’s role player-esque…  You don’t pay that type of player $16 Million per year….  Take Kevin Love for example, he’s on a terrible team, but his numbers inflated or not is still All-Star worthy…  $15 Million is what he makes a year…  Gordan Hayward isn’t worth $12 Million…  He’s worth $8 and if a team wanting to sign him, $12 Million is the cut off…  Anything more is grossly overpaid…  That’s paying him double than what he’s worth at $16 per…

      People talking as if it’s fine because these teams have cap room…  What about 2-3 years down the line and one of your rookies get All-Star good?  Y’all in contention and need to add a decent role player? That $4-6 Million a year could’ve went to that player instead it’s wasted on Gordon "freaking" Hayward?  Really? Look at the Lakers and Kobe…  They could have signed him to $20 Million a year and added an extra $4.5 Million to their cap room and signed a decent player as well as Melo…  Now, they have to manuever contracts to get that done…  When signing players you have to take all that into consideration…  Especially to lengthy contracts… 

      Salt City Hoops did an interesting article on Haywards preformance over a 4 year span…  He compared him to other players that had similar issues and how they panned out…

      http://saltcityhoops.com/gordon-haywards-shooting-s-a-fleeting-dip-or-a-worrying-trend/

      The biggest issue for me with Gordon is that he got to have the ball in his hands to do anything efficiently… Something that his biggest fans are blindly not seeing…  Look at his shot distrubution and the percentages…  He’s not the floor spreader that people think as he shot 34% on catch and shoot situations…  That has nothing to do with being the #1 option on a team (like he claimed), it shows how inconsistent he is…   That’s not a guy that you pay $15.75 Million average to…  He’s not worth it especially coming off one of his worse years efficiency wise…  

       

      Points Per GameFG%
      Drives2.840.9%
      Close Shots0.643.2%
      Catch and Shoot4.134.7%
      Pull Up3.7

       

       

      39.8%

       

       

       

       

       

         

       

       

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      • #934213
        AvatarAvatar
        Conezd
        Participant

        So, let’s say one of your young players does become all star good and you’re one role player away, are you saying that Gordan Hayward isn’t even an above average role player? Because he’s definitely an above average roll player. And he is an unselfish player who is a better athlete and defender than he is given credit for and I’ll go ahead and say it, it’s definitely because he’s stereotyped as a skinny white guy. Also, because of his unselfishness as a player, I could argue his stats suffer from playing on a team with less talented players because he likes to pass the ball. He’s a good young player. He won’t stink it up. He’s solid and you can count on about 15-18ppg 5 and 5 at least, every year. And he may over achieve and get better. He’s worth 14.5$mil a year because he’s a safe bet and the team is willing to pay it. People forget, teams have upto 63$ mil to spend, it needs to go to someone. Charlotte isn’t getting the lebrons or Carmelo’s of the world so, they should just not sign anybody??!! Hayward would’ve gotten that much money from a handful of teams so, it’s safe to say he’s worth it. 

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      • #934086
        AvatarAvatar
        Conezd
        Participant

        So, let’s say one of your young players does become all star good and you’re one role player away, are you saying that Gordan Hayward isn’t even an above average role player? Because he’s definitely an above average roll player. And he is an unselfish player who is a better athlete and defender than he is given credit for and I’ll go ahead and say it, it’s definitely because he’s stereotyped as a skinny white guy. Also, because of his unselfishness as a player, I could argue his stats suffer from playing on a team with less talented players because he likes to pass the ball. He’s a good young player. He won’t stink it up. He’s solid and you can count on about 15-18ppg 5 and 5 at least, every year. And he may over achieve and get better. He’s worth 14.5$mil a year because he’s a safe bet and the team is willing to pay it. People forget, teams have upto 63$ mil to spend, it needs to go to someone. Charlotte isn’t getting the lebrons or Carmelo’s of the world so, they should just not sign anybody??!! Hayward would’ve gotten that much money from a handful of teams so, it’s safe to say he’s worth it. 

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  • #934115
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    Tyrober
    Participant

     The term max scares people off, but he isn’t getting 20 million plus. He is only getting 15-16 million a year which does sound a little high for him, but that is what it takes to steal him away from another team. If they offered what most believe he is worth, 11- 13 million, then the Jazz match it and the Hornets miss out on a really good player. The Hornets are also in a small market and those teams typically have to over pay for guys as well. I really like Hayward as a player and even though the Hornets did over pay him by a couple million a season that is what it would have taken to get him away from the Jazz and they still match it as well. 

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  • #934003
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    morestealsthanscores
    Participant

     totally agree with OP. Just as important- no way is Deng getting that contract, even though I’d argue he’s a better player than both Hayward and Parsons. Why? Because he’s older.

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  • #934131
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    morestealsthanscores
    Participant

     totally agree with OP. Just as important- no way is Deng getting that contract, even though I’d argue he’s a better player than both Hayward and Parsons. Why? Because he’s older.

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  • #934009
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    Captain L
    Participant

     Hayward isn’t a max player but the market place is dictating what he is getting and the Jazz will match, also Hayward is better than some want to give him credit, he is the type of player that makes the game easier for his teammates, he sees the floor well, passes well and is just a smart player. I’d love having him as a teammate he makes his teammate better and that is worth alot.

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  • #934137
    AvatarAvatar
    Captain L
    Participant

     Hayward isn’t a max player but the market place is dictating what he is getting and the Jazz will match, also Hayward is better than some want to give him credit, he is the type of player that makes the game easier for his teammates, he sees the floor well, passes well and is just a smart player. I’d love having him as a teammate he makes his teammate better and that is worth alot.

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  • #934179
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    bloodshy
    Participant

     I can’t agree with your larger point. Your post shifts from a "overpay" post to a "Lance v. Gordon" post. These should be analyzed separately.

    1. Overpay. I posted on this recently. Gordon has not demonstrated the ability to be "the man." As the offense has focused on him (and defenses have keyed in on him) he has not been able to make the jump the way Paul George did. He will never be a #1 option on a contending team and, to me, $16M/year is too much to pay for a guy that can’t lead the way. Still, paying him $10M is an obvious bargain for her services and most people think $12-13M is a reasonable middle ground. Unfortunately for the Jazz, they did not accurately project the RFA market of 2014 when negotiating his contract and their unwillingness to pay him $13M/year will likely cost them $12M over the next 4. Not a huge shocker.

    Because of their cap space the Jazz will almost certainly match. Or, at the very least, they will do a sign and trade w/Cha. Many people project a big sign/trade deal here w/the Jazz walking away with several assets. IMO if a sign and trade happens it will be for one player (probably Zeller) and a lotto-protected first round pick. Charlotte will not trade MKG + Zeller + multiple picks to overpay Hayward as some have suggested. This will be a small S&T or a simple match by Utah.

    2. Gordon v. Lance. Personally, I take Gordon every time and the erratic behavior is not the main reason.

    First, I think Hayward is better offensively. Hayward averaged 16/5/5 with 2.8 tov on .413/.304/.816 shooting. Lance averaged 14/7/5 with 2.7 tov on .491/.352/.711. Advanced stats show Hayward’s had the edge in PER (16.2 to 14.7), while Lance had the edge in TS% (.564 to .520).

    When considering these stats Hayward appears to be the superior player outside of shooting, where Lance held a clear edge in 2014. However, when analyzing those numbers, I would still bet on Hayward’s shooting going forward. Hayward was the focal point of his offense, which he clearly could not handle and it showed. However, in years passed he was better as the #2 or #3 option with TS% numbers of .564 or better and PERs of 15.5 and 16.8 the previous two years. On the other hand, Lance’s year was his best to date by far. Lance’s previous best TS% was .530 and his best PER was 11.8. 

    I think Hayward’s efficiency will improve when he moves back to his natural role as the #2 or #3 option offensively. His high productivity will likely remain as well. Also, I have concerns that Lance’s numbers will not hold up if the focus of the offense shifts to him. That is a tough transition that few are able to make and I see no reason why Lance, who in his best year averaged 14.1 ppg could make the jump. 

    Second, people are overrating Lance on D and underrating Hayward. Lance played an important role on one of the league’s top defenses in the very weak East. Hayward, on the other hand, was an above average defender on one of the NBA’s worst defensive teams in the stacked West. Still, Hayward averaged 1.4 steals and .5 blocks while Lance averaged just .7 steals and .1 blocks. Lance gets a lot of credit for superior athleticism and defensive ability, but I’m really not so sure he’s better than Hayward. He was certainly in an elite defensive system, but Hayward was more productive on D. In any case, I don’t see a big gap here.

    Thus, I disagree that Lance should be paid more than Hayward, though I do agree that $16M a year is too much to pay for either. I also agree that Lance, like Gordon will be getting a big payday this offseason due to market dynamics. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  • #934051
    AvatarAvatar
    bloodshy
    Participant

     I can’t agree with your larger point. Your post shifts from a "overpay" post to a "Lance v. Gordon" post. These should be analyzed separately.

    1. Overpay. I posted on this recently. Gordon has not demonstrated the ability to be "the man." As the offense has focused on him (and defenses have keyed in on him) he has not been able to make the jump the way Paul George did. He will never be a #1 option on a contending team and, to me, $16M/year is too much to pay for a guy that can’t lead the way. Still, paying him $10M is an obvious bargain for her services and most people think $12-13M is a reasonable middle ground. Unfortunately for the Jazz, they did not accurately project the RFA market of 2014 when negotiating his contract and their unwillingness to pay him $13M/year will likely cost them $12M over the next 4. Not a huge shocker.

    Because of their cap space the Jazz will almost certainly match. Or, at the very least, they will do a sign and trade w/Cha. Many people project a big sign/trade deal here w/the Jazz walking away with several assets. IMO if a sign and trade happens it will be for one player (probably Zeller) and a lotto-protected first round pick. Charlotte will not trade MKG + Zeller + multiple picks to overpay Hayward as some have suggested. This will be a small S&T or a simple match by Utah.

    2. Gordon v. Lance. Personally, I take Gordon every time and the erratic behavior is not the main reason.

    First, I think Hayward is better offensively. Hayward averaged 16/5/5 with 2.8 tov on .413/.304/.816 shooting. Lance averaged 14/7/5 with 2.7 tov on .491/.352/.711. Advanced stats show Hayward’s had the edge in PER (16.2 to 14.7), while Lance had the edge in TS% (.564 to .520).

    When considering these stats Hayward appears to be the superior player outside of shooting, where Lance held a clear edge in 2014. However, when analyzing those numbers, I would still bet on Hayward’s shooting going forward. Hayward was the focal point of his offense, which he clearly could not handle and it showed. However, in years passed he was better as the #2 or #3 option with TS% numbers of .564 or better and PERs of 15.5 and 16.8 the previous two years. On the other hand, Lance’s year was his best to date by far. Lance’s previous best TS% was .530 and his best PER was 11.8. 

    I think Hayward’s efficiency will improve when he moves back to his natural role as the #2 or #3 option offensively. His high productivity will likely remain as well. Also, I have concerns that Lance’s numbers will not hold up if the focus of the offense shifts to him. That is a tough transition that few are able to make and I see no reason why Lance, who in his best year averaged 14.1 ppg could make the jump. 

    Second, people are overrating Lance on D and underrating Hayward. Lance played an important role on one of the league’s top defenses in the very weak East. Hayward, on the other hand, was an above average defender on one of the NBA’s worst defensive teams in the stacked West. Still, Hayward averaged 1.4 steals and .5 blocks while Lance averaged just .7 steals and .1 blocks. Lance gets a lot of credit for superior athleticism and defensive ability, but I’m really not so sure he’s better than Hayward. He was certainly in an elite defensive system, but Hayward was more productive on D. In any case, I don’t see a big gap here.

    Thus, I disagree that Lance should be paid more than Hayward, though I do agree that $16M a year is too much to pay for either. I also agree that Lance, like Gordon will be getting a big payday this offseason due to market dynamics. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

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    • #934181
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      llperez

      "First, I think Hayward is better offensively. Hayward averaged 16/5/5 with 2.8 tov on .413/.304/.816 shooting. Lance averaged 14/7/5 with 2.7 tov on .491/.352/.711. Advanced stats show Hayward’s had the edge in PER (16.2 to 14.7), while Lance had the edge in TS% (.564 to .520).


       When considering these stats Hayward appears to be the superior player outside of shooting,"


      Unless you are refferring to some other stats that you didnt show here, no, these stats in no way shape or form show hayward is the "superior" players. Hayward got 2 more points, 2 less rebounds the same assists the same turnovers and show considerably lower from the field and three. At best you could say its a toss up, but i think the shooting advantage, the defensive advantage and the fact lance did his while playing on one of the leagues best teams while hayward did his thing playing for a bad team give the edge to lance. Of course thats just my opinion and i certainly wouldnt say the stats show lance is superior.

       

       

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    • #934053
      AvatarAvatar
      llperez

      "First, I think Hayward is better offensively. Hayward averaged 16/5/5 with 2.8 tov on .413/.304/.816 shooting. Lance averaged 14/7/5 with 2.7 tov on .491/.352/.711. Advanced stats show Hayward’s had the edge in PER (16.2 to 14.7), while Lance had the edge in TS% (.564 to .520).


       When considering these stats Hayward appears to be the superior player outside of shooting,"


      Unless you are refferring to some other stats that you didnt show here, no, these stats in no way shape or form show hayward is the "superior" players. Hayward got 2 more points, 2 less rebounds the same assists the same turnovers and show considerably lower from the field and three. At best you could say its a toss up, but i think the shooting advantage, the defensive advantage and the fact lance did his while playing on one of the leagues best teams while hayward did his thing playing for a bad team give the edge to lance. Of course thats just my opinion and i certainly wouldnt say the stats show lance is superior.

       

       

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      • #934187
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        tuck243
        Participant

        after reading the rest of his post…

        I was just discussing this with a dude on Twitter and he was making the same claim…  The issue was he took Hayward’s first 3 years and negated to bring the 4th into the discussion…  After I made note of it, he didn’t even reply back…  It’s weird how people really want to prove that Hayward is going to be a great player…  It bothers me because we haven’t seen too many people have great careers when they have been this inconsistent…  Not to mention a terrible defensive player with a -1.59 DF rating…  He’s almost as bad as James Harden on that end… 

        If you look at the rest of the players that were up and down like him, Iggy, Marion, Richard Jefferson… They were all defensive guys as well…  The rest were moved to role players or out the league there after…  Mobley and Q-Rich…  Neither one worth $16 Million in the best year of their career…  

        34% on catch and shoot situations is the worst stat of them all though…   Because that’s his best attribute….

         

         

          

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      • #934059
        AvatarAvatar
        tuck243
        Participant

        after reading the rest of his post…

        I was just discussing this with a dude on Twitter and he was making the same claim…  The issue was he took Hayward’s first 3 years and negated to bring the 4th into the discussion…  After I made note of it, he didn’t even reply back…  It’s weird how people really want to prove that Hayward is going to be a great player…  It bothers me because we haven’t seen too many people have great careers when they have been this inconsistent…  Not to mention a terrible defensive player with a -1.59 DF rating…  He’s almost as bad as James Harden on that end… 

        If you look at the rest of the players that were up and down like him, Iggy, Marion, Richard Jefferson… They were all defensive guys as well…  The rest were moved to role players or out the league there after…  Mobley and Q-Rich…  Neither one worth $16 Million in the best year of their career…  

        34% on catch and shoot situations is the worst stat of them all though…   Because that’s his best attribute….

         

         

          

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        • #934199
          AvatarAvatar
          bloodshy
          Participant

          Hayward’s inconsistency is a legitimate concern. And I don’t think you exclude year four from the equation (did I make that suggestion previously?). It’s clearly part of the analysis. In fact, if not for year four we would not be having this discussion, since Lance never produced at even a moderate level before 2013-14. I’m just saying I think you need to consider roles and prior years to project likely production going forward. Certainly, my projections may be off and your may be spot on. It’s a guessing game to some degree.

          Important points to note about 13-14 for Hayward: He led the league in miles run. He simply ran around the floor more than any other player. He also was in his first year as the #1 option. Previously Big Al was the #1 and Millsap/Hayward/Mo Williams/Randy Foye were co #2-6. That was a major change. For the first time Hayward was the focal point of the D every time he had the ball. He did not handle it well and his shooting efficiency dropped way down. His 3pt% dropped from 41% to 30%. Was this a sign that he’s a bad shooter that will not bounce back? Or, are his bad shooting numbers likely to improve when he moves back to being the #2 or #3 option? I really don’t know for sure. However, it seems likely to me that when he is no longer the focus of the D his numbers will improve.

          On the other hand, Lance had huge jumps accross the board in productivity and efficiency in 13-14. He had never produced as much or as efficiently in a prior season. Will Lance maintain his efficiency and productivity or was this a blip on the radar? Also, would Lance maintain his efficiency if he was the #1 option as Hayward was? Having George, West and Hibbert pulling focus from a player creates a lot of open shots.

          I’m not saying I know the future, but, after considering the whole picture, I would definitely bet on Hayward above Lance going forward. That said, I could very easily be wrong.

           

            

           

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        • #934071
          AvatarAvatar
          bloodshy
          Participant

          Hayward’s inconsistency is a legitimate concern. And I don’t think you exclude year four from the equation (did I make that suggestion previously?). It’s clearly part of the analysis. In fact, if not for year four we would not be having this discussion, since Lance never produced at even a moderate level before 2013-14. I’m just saying I think you need to consider roles and prior years to project likely production going forward. Certainly, my projections may be off and your may be spot on. It’s a guessing game to some degree.

          Important points to note about 13-14 for Hayward: He led the league in miles run. He simply ran around the floor more than any other player. He also was in his first year as the #1 option. Previously Big Al was the #1 and Millsap/Hayward/Mo Williams/Randy Foye were co #2-6. That was a major change. For the first time Hayward was the focal point of the D every time he had the ball. He did not handle it well and his shooting efficiency dropped way down. His 3pt% dropped from 41% to 30%. Was this a sign that he’s a bad shooter that will not bounce back? Or, are his bad shooting numbers likely to improve when he moves back to being the #2 or #3 option? I really don’t know for sure. However, it seems likely to me that when he is no longer the focus of the D his numbers will improve.

          On the other hand, Lance had huge jumps accross the board in productivity and efficiency in 13-14. He had never produced as much or as efficiently in a prior season. Will Lance maintain his efficiency and productivity or was this a blip on the radar? Also, would Lance maintain his efficiency if he was the #1 option as Hayward was? Having George, West and Hibbert pulling focus from a player creates a lot of open shots.

          I’m not saying I know the future, but, after considering the whole picture, I would definitely bet on Hayward above Lance going forward. That said, I could very easily be wrong.

           

            

           

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          • #934215
            AvatarAvatar
            tuck243
            Participant

             also minutes per game…  Given more minutes and ample opportunity Lance’s production increased to go along with his increase in efficiency…  Gordon has been getting starter minutes for about 3 years now and his %’s are jumping around…   

            The only issue I have with saying his role as a #1 player as the reason he didn’t do well, is that when have we used that excuse for any player making $16 Million a year?  I’ve never witness something like this before…  He shot terrible because he was the #1 option?  He also only averaged 16 as the #1 option, how does that make you think he will perform better later?  The Catch and shoot stat really turned me off on him because most of his shot attempts come from that…  It’s catch and shoot situations, regardless if you are the focal point of the defense you still have enough space to get it off…  Where’s that excuse for Kevin Love?  Shouldn’t we expect a huge production increase from him if he goes to a team as a second option?  

            I’m glad you mentioned Al Jefferson because he’s headed to a team with Al Jefferson as their #1 option…  The only thing that has been erratic about his percentages is his 3… Outside of that he has seen a dramatic decline in FG% since his rookie season…  He attributed that to bad shots and long 2’s, but that’s another excuse given by him…

            He’s really a 3rd option because 2nd options are able to produce more on a team where they’re the #1 guy…  $12 Million was a bit much, but in this market I get it…  $16 Million is over paying him and in comparison to Lance he doesn’t do enough on the defensive end to merit that paycheck…  

            But I’m with you and I understand your points…  Much respect…  We’ll see soon…

             

             

             

             

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          • #934088
            AvatarAvatar
            tuck243
            Participant

             also minutes per game…  Given more minutes and ample opportunity Lance’s production increased to go along with his increase in efficiency…  Gordon has been getting starter minutes for about 3 years now and his %’s are jumping around…   

            The only issue I have with saying his role as a #1 player as the reason he didn’t do well, is that when have we used that excuse for any player making $16 Million a year?  I’ve never witness something like this before…  He shot terrible because he was the #1 option?  He also only averaged 16 as the #1 option, how does that make you think he will perform better later?  The Catch and shoot stat really turned me off on him because most of his shot attempts come from that…  It’s catch and shoot situations, regardless if you are the focal point of the defense you still have enough space to get it off…  Where’s that excuse for Kevin Love?  Shouldn’t we expect a huge production increase from him if he goes to a team as a second option?  

            I’m glad you mentioned Al Jefferson because he’s headed to a team with Al Jefferson as their #1 option…  The only thing that has been erratic about his percentages is his 3… Outside of that he has seen a dramatic decline in FG% since his rookie season…  He attributed that to bad shots and long 2’s, but that’s another excuse given by him…

            He’s really a 3rd option because 2nd options are able to produce more on a team where they’re the #1 guy…  $12 Million was a bit much, but in this market I get it…  $16 Million is over paying him and in comparison to Lance he doesn’t do enough on the defensive end to merit that paycheck…  

            But I’m with you and I understand your points…  Much respect…  We’ll see soon…

             

             

             

             

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      • #934239
        AvatarAvatar
        Pistol Pete. The Pelican
        Participant

        I agree with you, I’d just add in, Lance and Hayward had very similar stats, and Lance had the 5th highest usage rate on his team (but he was a ball hog? crazy) and he put up those stats, he may lose some efficiency on shooting, but his stats will be much better than Haywards in the same position. Lance is wired to be an attacker, Hayward is a great cog, not worth 63 million. 

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      • #934112
        AvatarAvatar
        Pistol Pete. The Pelican
        Participant

        I agree with you, I’d just add in, Lance and Hayward had very similar stats, and Lance had the 5th highest usage rate on his team (but he was a ball hog? crazy) and he put up those stats, he may lose some efficiency on shooting, but his stats will be much better than Haywards in the same position. Lance is wired to be an attacker, Hayward is a great cog, not worth 63 million. 

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  • #934185
    AvatarAvatar
    Meditated States
    Participant

     Hibbert and West is easier my friend. Attention is paid to the other players and not Lance. Thats b ball 101 he got open looks. I take Heyward. Along with his skills he wont kill team chemistry.

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  • #934057
    AvatarAvatar
    Meditated States
    Participant

     Hibbert and West is easier my friend. Attention is paid to the other players and not Lance. Thats b ball 101 he got open looks. I take Heyward. Along with his skills he wont kill team chemistry.

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  • #934241
    AvatarAvatar
    celtics1982
    Participant

    Hayward is not a go to scorer, as you saw last year.  But with Big Al he would get a ton of wide open shots and would be a great fit.  He didn’t shoot great last year, but he is know as a shooter and he’s a great passer.  I feel a player like Stephenson is a fall back option on a high dollar short term contract, maybe a 2 year 13 million a year deal.  I just don’t trust Stephenson off court problems to give him a 4 year deal at 11 to 12 million and I surely wouldn’t give him a max contract.  He’s a modern day Ron Artest, very good player that can go off at any time and ruin your whole season.

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  • #934114
    AvatarAvatar
    celtics1982
    Participant

    Hayward is not a go to scorer, as you saw last year.  But with Big Al he would get a ton of wide open shots and would be a great fit.  He didn’t shoot great last year, but he is know as a shooter and he’s a great passer.  I feel a player like Stephenson is a fall back option on a high dollar short term contract, maybe a 2 year 13 million a year deal.  I just don’t trust Stephenson off court problems to give him a 4 year deal at 11 to 12 million and I surely wouldn’t give him a max contract.  He’s a modern day Ron Artest, very good player that can go off at any time and ruin your whole season.

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  • #934247
    AvatarAvatar
    Hitster
    Participant

     It’s strange that teams shy away from paying someone like Luol Deng $12 million or so a year yet will pay Hayward and Parsons $15 million a year upwards. I fully agree that a rookie max isn’t like a max to a 10 year veteran guy but it’s still a lot of money and on par with what John Wall, DMC are getting and onlty a bit below what someone like James Harden gets.

    I’d have put Hayward at $48 to $50 million over 4 years personally but good luck to him for getting this offer.

    You do wonder whether Charlotte have made a rod for their back as they can renew Kemba Walker this summer and he may chase a similar type deal and the much more proven Al Jefferson has a player option next summer and if he has another 20/10 season then he can legitimately look for a very large deal as Hayward would be on more than him.

     

     

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  • #934120
    AvatarAvatar
    Hitster
    Participant

     It’s strange that teams shy away from paying someone like Luol Deng $12 million or so a year yet will pay Hayward and Parsons $15 million a year upwards. I fully agree that a rookie max isn’t like a max to a 10 year veteran guy but it’s still a lot of money and on par with what John Wall, DMC are getting and onlty a bit below what someone like James Harden gets.

    I’d have put Hayward at $48 to $50 million over 4 years personally but good luck to him for getting this offer.

    You do wonder whether Charlotte have made a rod for their back as they can renew Kemba Walker this summer and he may chase a similar type deal and the much more proven Al Jefferson has a player option next summer and if he has another 20/10 season then he can legitimately look for a very large deal as Hayward would be on more than him.

     

     

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  • #934426
    AvatarAvatar
    TheLastWord
    Participant

    Hayward won’t ever live up to a max, but I think he can live up to 12-13 if his shooting returns to 2nd year form. Plus he is a perfect role model as a player with no chance to ever disrupt chemistry. When you conisder no one is coming to Utah, its pretty easy to see why they match.

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  • #934297
    AvatarAvatar
    TheLastWord
    Participant

    Hayward won’t ever live up to a max, but I think he can live up to 12-13 if his shooting returns to 2nd year form. Plus he is a perfect role model as a player with no chance to ever disrupt chemistry. When you conisder no one is coming to Utah, its pretty easy to see why they match.

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  • #934474
    AvatarAvatar
    Captain L
    Participant

     Hayward probably isn’t worth what he is going to be paid but the market is what is deciding that and the Jazz need Gordon to continue to move forward, Hayward isn’t a #1 option like everyone has been saying and I’m not sure how that will change this year but I do think it will change, I’m looking for Favors to improve and take more of a load offensively, Burks shouild get more shots this year, Kanter is a gunner and that should continue, he will be looking to shoot the 3 this year, and then Burke and Exum should be major offensive players since the ball will be in their hands alot. All that said, I see Gordon’s role as the leader but not necessarily as the guy that has to take the most shots on the team this year. New coach with a new system will alter how things are done, so I don’t think we know for sure how things will pan out but it should be an interesting year and hopefully it will be one of much development by these young players.

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  • #934346
    AvatarAvatar
    Captain L
    Participant

     Hayward probably isn’t worth what he is going to be paid but the market is what is deciding that and the Jazz need Gordon to continue to move forward, Hayward isn’t a #1 option like everyone has been saying and I’m not sure how that will change this year but I do think it will change, I’m looking for Favors to improve and take more of a load offensively, Burks shouild get more shots this year, Kanter is a gunner and that should continue, he will be looking to shoot the 3 this year, and then Burke and Exum should be major offensive players since the ball will be in their hands alot. All that said, I see Gordon’s role as the leader but not necessarily as the guy that has to take the most shots on the team this year. New coach with a new system will alter how things are done, so I don’t think we know for sure how things will pan out but it should be an interesting year and hopefully it will be one of much development by these young players.

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