Nolan Smith draft stock
Has anyone else been impressed wit NS this tourny? today i was shocked at the amount of different ways he was able to score, whether it was banging 3's or get to the bucket, tear drops, mid range j's..... What is his stock?? i realize he is only 6'2ish but could he enter the draft and be a possible late 1st rounder?
He's not coming out this year. Next year late 1st rounder to early 2nd rounder.. Not much potential there. His skill that he currently posses will be the same skills he'll have in 6-10 years. don't get me wrong, he's good, but he's not gunna get any better.
Poor man's ben gordon
Nolan Smith is by far one of the hardest prospects to accurately rate. At this point he is unfortunately locked in at the 2-guard position despite showing flashes of potential to play the point; it would be great to see him get a chance to run the team next season, but he won't because of incoming recruit Kyrie Irving. His size will certainly hinder his stock, but I, personally, am still very high on him. He has been absolutely sensational in the tourney, consistently displaying an incredibly refined offensive game. He hasn't been a dead-eye shooter all year, but he still has a great J and can really light it up form outside on occasion (as evidenced by his 4-6 showing from range against Baylor). His measurements won't blow anyone away, but he knows how to get the ball in the bucket unlike so many more gifted physical specimens.
What impresses me the most about his game is how can get anywhere on the floor whenever he pleases. Few players on the college level are better at getting to their spots. Even against a Baylor team with an frontline bigger than any NBA team, I believe, Smith was knifing in the lane and knocking down everything, it seemed. I like him as a mid-late first round pick next year and think that he'll be around in the league for a decade regardless of when he's taken in the draft.
A lot of his game reminds me of former blue devil Daniel Ewing. Not really a point, and not really tall enough to be a two. Although Daniel played the point exclusively his senior year and showed he was a capable point guard. Even spent a couple years in the league on the clippers. But I think Nolan really needs to improve his point guard skills. Cause at the college level, he can get away with being a scoring guard while being 6'3 and not overly explosive, and just average as an athlete. At the next level however, he won't enjoy the same luxury as a combo guard, and its imperative that he become a reliable point guard for him to have a place in the league. They put him at the point last year as a sophomore and he was up and down at best and just didn't seem to find that right balance in terms of decision making.
Just like Daniel Ewing did when Duhon left, next year he should be able to make that switch to the point guard and really be the leader of that team next year when Scheyer graduates. Provided that the Kyrie Irving kid doesn't get the keys to the car immediately, I expect to see Coach K put Smith at the point and allow him to maximize his abilities for the pros. I think Coach K usually will do that with a seasoned senior like Smith, even though Irving is highly thought of. I think he definitely stays no matter what happens with Duke this year, and I could see him being a first rounder next year, if he makes the necessary progressions in his game.
He's a good college player though, I love his toughness and what he brings to that Duke team. Has really gotten better every year, which is what you like to see from players.
No...Nolan Smith will probably stay at 2 guard. Irving will have the reigns at the PG. Nolan Smith is a guy who doesnt have a great "upside" and who knows weather he'll last in the NBA at all, but he's a pleasure to watch in college. He's the epitome of hard work as he was not a very good his first 2 years, but he worked his tail off and was a really strong player for them...Duke would not have gotten out of the 2nd round this year if Smith had not improved like he did.
I think Nolan Smith should come out, because his stock is as high as it can get... as you said with Irving taking the reins at PG, the only way Nolan Smith would improve his stock is by playing the PG position next year which obviously isn't happening, right now he could jump in the first round and maybe even the early 20s if a team falls in love with him. The duke offense seriously restricts players from realizing their fullest potential so I don't see how he can help himself by sticking around.
Scoutguru was right. He's very similar to Daniel Ewing. He's developed a nice shot, but not a true PG which would help