looking towards the pac 10 next year
I've been studying up on the rosters and returning players as well as incoming recruits, and without going into too much detail, here is how i think the pac 10 shakes down next year:
A deep young roster that only losses one senior (nic wise) and returns a number of talented players led by last years conference freshaman of the year pf Derrick WIlliams who is an early favorite for poy in the pac. On a side note, top 10 recruit josh selby who is a pg from maryland and is heavily considering Arizona could push this team into national title contenders.
Three returning starters in reeves nelson, malcolm lee and tyler honeycutt as well as a top recruiting class headlined by top 10 and number 1 overall center Josh Smith who could have an immediate impact will put the bruins back in the mix after an embarrassing 2009/10 campaign.
Quincey Pondexter is a huge loss, but he is the only guy leaving from a team that has consistently gone 10 deep all season. A veteran backcourt and great size and length down low really make this team dangerous and possibly even better next year, especially if pro prospect Enes Kanter re commits to the program and gives them a go to big man.
4-Washington State Cougars
They also only have one senior leaving on the entire roster and return all key players. The backcourt of Klay Thompson (20ppg) and pac 10 freshman of the year runner up Reggie Moore give this team one of the best backcourts on the entire west coast.
yet another pac 10 team that has only one senior on the entire roster leaving (tajuan porter), however those will be huge shoes to fill. But with athletic wing players like lekendrick longmire and a big man with serious all conference potential in michael Dunigan, this team should be able to push the pace and have a balanced attack.
6-Arizona State Sun Devils
they return some key pieces in Ty Abbott who is their best half court offensive creator and Rihards Kucsiks who is probably the best shooter in the entire conference, they will be relied upon heavily as seniors. Herb Sendeks defenisve half court mind et keeps them in most games.
A mediocre team losing their best player is never a good sign, but Jeremy Green(16ppg) and a top 15 recruiting class that will provide plenty of depth will keep this team competiive in a transition year.
The best big man duo in the entire pac 10 from last year return in Alex Stephenson and Nikola Vucevic who led the conference in rebounds and won most improved player honors. Not too many teams in America will have more size then the trojans, however there is a major over haul on the perimiter and no one at this point seems like a game changer from the gaurd positions.
9- Oregon State Beavers
Team MVP Calvin Haynes returns, but losing Seth Tarver who was one of the best defenders in the country will hurt and the rest the team is full of unproven guys trying to establish themselves as capable starters.
The bears are not a deep team as it is and they now lose their only 4 seniors who carried them to what success they have. Not one returning player looks like more then a role player. Expect big man Markhuri Sanders Frison to become a go to player on the box well the team hits bottom this next year.
5 break out performers to watch out for:
Nikola Vucevic(USC), Derrick WIlliams(Arizona), Abdul Gaddy(Washington), Reggie Moore(Washington St), Tyler Honeycutt(UCLA)
I fully expect Arizona, UCLA, Washington and Washington St to be in the NCAA tournament next year.
just remember ASU was picked 7th this year and took 2nd and barely missed the tournament...and they only have one key loss, Derek Glasser. They also get #22 in the nation Keala King who reminds me a little of James Harden and could have that type of impact on them. They do lose Boateng but they are also getting a 7'2" center to replace him. Don't be surprised if they end up winning the pac but they are definitely not taking 6th. Herb Sendek always over achieves.
boateng is gonna be pretty big loss, he was their only legit big man. Im not too worried about them losing glasser because i think he was not a difference maker, but right now they need a new pg to step in and im not sure who that will be. I watched Keala King play a few weeks ago and i think you might be going a little overboard with the harden comparison. King is not even the best player on Mater Dei highschool, the sg who's headed to ucla is better and ranked higher.
I kinda think ASU really took advantage of how weak the conference was this year and i really didn't like them all that much as a team. I had them 5th before switching oregon at the last minute, but ASU losses a couple key starters and does not have one of the top 4 or 5 recruiting classes in the conference. But you are right about sendek being a great coach and Trent Lockett is another guy to look out for, so they might finsh top half, but no way would i predict them top 3 or 4.
Yeah, but they also lost 2 good starters from last year's team, James Harden and Jeff Pendergraph. You are right in the fact that the Pac-10 will be a lot better next year and ASU will have its work cut out for them. Keala King has had struggles recently but he is a lot better than he has been playing. I didn't really mean to compare him to James Harden but he could have that type of impact. At 6'5" with the handles he has, he can probably do most of the ball handling like Harden did while he was there. Jordan Bachynski is the 7'2" guy and he has good mid range game and between him and Ruslan Pateev they will be pretty solid underneath. I do like your overall rankings of the Pac but I think Stanford will be good enough to slip into the top 5 in the pac 10.
i could defintiely see them finishing higher then i predicted, but the conference as a whole is really making major strides and i think asu is only slightly improving. But to me, all those teams i have in the top 6 could make a run at a tournament spot. Ty Abbott and Rihards Kucsics are two of my favorite players to watch. But Boetang was huge down the stretch and having a big man of his caliber was crucial to their success in a conference devoid of quality bigs last year. I'll admit though, I haven't seen Jordan Bachynski, so thanks for the heads up.
I believe Derrick Williams could be a mid 1st round pick next season.
I agree with this list except Oregon. I think if they get a good coach (Tubby Smith) who can pull maybe one or two recruits ( Terrance Jones, Terrance Ross) maybe they move up a bit.
Bachynski is going to be a project player just like many other players of that height but he was getting heavily recruited by schools such as Uconn, BYU, and San Diego. Here is a highlight tape of him.
Nothing special right now but he can hit the mid range jumper and is really agile and for a 7'2" guy that is impressive.
Oregon is a tough call and they do have some good recruits like terence jones who is still considering them. I gave that team the benefit of the doubt in these rankings though because i just really like the number of wing players that can contribute now that porter wont be around to dominate the ball. Malcolm Armstead, Lekendrick Longmire and EJ Singler(Kyle's brother) are all gonna be able to put up double digits. I'm also assuming Joevon Catron will be granted a redshirt since he only played 4 games last season, and he is their best low post scorer along with Dunigan. They are a well balanced and athletic team that will have a lot more experince.
Of course im kinda of giving them a best case scenario on this one, so it wouldn't be a surprise if they fell towards the bottom again.
thanks for the bachynski clip. He looks very agile and has a soft touch for a 7 footer. But he clearly needs to add some weight. But there aren't too many skilled bigs in the pac 10, so he could have an impact just not sure if that will come next season.