Hey drafting a player in the NBA is no easy thing. Just because a player was good in High School and College doesn't mean he will be a great pro player. If a player turns out good then the player gets all of the credit but if a player is a bust the GM gets all the blame. Was Dumars dumb for passing on Bosh, Wade and Carmelo? Maybe but there was something that he saw that made him think Darko was a better fit. What's some of the picks you yourself would've made that would've landed you in deep trouble with your teams fans and media?? Be honest everyone makes a mistake sometimes.
My top three I can think of was
Marcus Fizer. Would've been my number one pick that year over K-Mart and Jamal Crawford. In my defense if he was the third pick after those two it still would've been a good pick to this day.
Jay Williams out of Duke also would've been my top pick the year he came out. Really surprised me that he didn't make it but most of that could be due to the motorcycle accident.
I would've passed on Wade in 03. I didn't see him as a star in the NBA. He was good at Marquette but saw him as a good bench player in the NBA.
Those were mines, let me hear yours. I know there will be some Adam Morrison ones out there lol
Back when I was a novice draft-junkie, I would have made a lot of mistakes. I feel like I know a lot more now, but back then I was pretty high on guys like Saer Sene, Yi Jianlian and Acie Law. Those guys didn't pan out exactly like I imagined...
Recently my big-blunder would have been passing on Brandon Jennings. His explosive attitude and questionable ability would have scared me away as a GM. Sure he is struggling right now, but he has kept his attitude in check and nobody can question his potential. Brandon Jennings you have proven me wrong. Now get your percentages up.
MIne would easily be Gerald Green. I would've picked him number 1 in the 2005 NBA Draft no questions asked. I thought he was the next great wing player in the NBA. After I saw him in the McDonald's game I thought he was destined to be a franchise player. I was shocked when he fell to 18th. Oh well, turns out he was nothing more than an athlete with a pretty jump shot
My picks for guys i thought would be stars would've been guys like Chris Washburn in 1986..Dude had skills like Shaq, but he wasn't too bright and was heavily into drugs..I thought Rex Chapman would be a star..He had a nice nba career ,as a role player,but nothing like the future allstar most people predicted he would become after his outstanding freshman year at Kentucky..I thought Pearl Washington would be a star..But he didn't last long in the league..As for Guys i was shocked to see drafted late..I was surprised to see Carlos Boozer go in the 2nd round..I had him going in the top 10..Gilbert Arenas ,i thought he would be a lotto pick ..Just goes to show u even scouts sometimes get it wrong..The jury is still out on Morrison..He has a chance to be a productive player..He has to get with the right team..Remember he was averaging 15 points a game in his rookie year before he got injured..
I was real high on Darius Miles, Shaun Livingston, and Frank Williams.
Guys who fooled me: Michael Finley ( I've been around for a while haha), Carl Landry, and Aldridge (thought he was too soft)
Another big one was I thought Dee Brown was gonna be a better pro than Deron Williams when they were both in Illinois. Was shocked when Utah picked him that early. But I agree with the Gerald Green and Darius Miles too.
Back in 06 i was real high on Marcus Williams PG UCONN. I would have considered taking him in the top 10 of that relatively weak draft class.
Roko Ukic/ Hakim Warrick over Danny Granger
- just thought that Granger was too much of a tweener. Ukic had the European Hype as a 6'5" PG. Warrick was a great player on a great team.
Okafor Over Howard
- The guy was a crazy shotblocker in one of the best conferences in the nation, Had a good body, and was a proven winner. Howard, on the other hand, was just a skinny kid with hops from highschool
javaris Crittenton/ Julian Wright/ Al Thornton over Spencer Hawes/ Thaddeus Young.
- Watching a few Tech games, I always thought Crittenton was a better NBA prospect than teammate Young. Al Thornton looked like a Beast for the Noles. His body was more than NBA ready. Julian Wright: Versatile swingman with defensive intensity on a proven team. Hawes: Didn't know much about the guy except he was super unathletic.
I was high on both of these players but I think you can still argue Thornton over Hawes to this day.
Allen Ray. He had a nice shot. I probably would have tooken him early second round. I thought he would be a nice role player, but he is not even that at all. Too small and his lack of athleticness makes him weak. That's the only one I can really think of. There is probably more but they just aren't coming to my head. I have a lot of guys that I would have taken earlier, and they end up proving me right. Carlos Boozer is one of those.
There are a lot of players I thought would be outstanding but they never made it or they had mediocre careers. I can't remember most of them because they faded away, so let me take it from another angle, guys who turned out to be far better than I ever imagined.
All of the players listed below obviously are or were part of the league's best. However, try to think about them when they were in college when we didn't know how they would adjust to the NBA. Here are several guys I thought would be good, but never imagined any of them would become an elite player.
Dwayne Wade - Marquette
Tim Duncan - Wake Forest
Chris Bosch - GA Tech
Chauncey Billups - Colorado
Brandon Roy - Washington
John Stockton - Gonzaga
I wouldn't call him a bust or anything but I was and still am very high on Earl Clark. I would have taken him over Harden and Thabeet.
Tim Duncan was a no-brainer #1 pick. It seemed pretty clear that he was going to be great. Roy just didn't get a lot of attention playing for Washington but if you watched him play in the tourney, you saw how special he was. Same goes for Wade. He kind of flew under the radar but blew up in the tourney. His triple double opened everyones' eyes.
Tim Duncan was an excellent player at Wake Forest who was fundamentally sound even back then. However, he couldn't jump and he couldn't run the court so I envisioned him as a good or very good player, and that was it. I had no idea he would become one of the greatest big men in NBA history. I find it hard to believe anyone could have foreseen what kind of career he would have.
Dwayne Wade didn't have a reliable outside shot when he was at Marquette and he was only 6 foot 3, which is relatively short for NBA shooting guards. I thought he would be a very good player, but never thought he would become one of the top five players in the game. He developed an incredible outside shot since he came into the league and that made the difference.
I would have taken Emeka Okafor over Dwight Howard in 04. I still thought Dwight was top 3 talent, but after guys like Brown, Chandler, Curry, Bender, Miles and other high school big men had gotten out to slow starts or not panned out I would have taken the Okafor who put up 17, 12 and 4 for the top college team and won an NCAA champion over a potential guy with the #1 pick.
Drafting Kwame Brown....
I thought these guys would do a lot better in the NBA, some are still doing well but i thought some of these guys would have better careers and some of the players are still early in their careers
Ron Mercer, Ed O'bannon, Emeka Okafor, Jay Williams from Duke, Chris Wilcox, Juan Dixon, Andre Miller, Kirk Hinrich, Nick Collison, TJ Ford, Michael Sweetney, Marvin Williams, Sean May, Rashad McCants, Gerald Green, Michael Beasley
I also would've taken Okafor over Dwight Howard as I didn't know much about Howard and the high school big man project came to mind. Tim Duncan was an easy #1 pick though even though I heard some ppl say he would be a Brad Daugherty type of player really.
i would have picked bs.bradley number one because he was 7'6 lol. also thought fizer and mike dunleavy were gonna be better altghough dunlevay hasnt been bad
This may be too early because their both in their 2nd season, but I thought the Bulls should've taken Michael Beasley over Derrick Rose. As a Kansas State fan, I thought Beasley was going to be a 20-10 guy immediate in the pros (yes, now I see how unrealistic that was) because he made scoring and rebounding look very easy in college and had arguably the best Freshman season anyone had ever seen. I thought the Bulls were set at PG with Hinrich, who I saw as developing into an annual borderline All-Star, so they should have just picked a scoring PF since it was their most glaring need at the time. Now, Rose is an All-Star player and even though Beasley is an above average NBA player and talent, I think the Bulls would've missed out on a franchise-level talent like Derrick Rose had they chosen Beasley.
actually it isnt unrealistic. you put beasley on a team without a future hall of famer in wade and his numkbers god up by at least 5. as well as him playing more. give him roses rookie minutes and chances plus a coach who will let him sink or swim( rose defense was also bad but the coach still played him)and he puts up 20-10. i think they would have still be nice with beasley