Why Marcus Smart won't be a superstar
I have had Marcus Smart on top of my big board for several weeks. I have loved his elite athleticism, playmaking, competitiveness, and leadership.
But I am losing faith in his future.
One thing that sets superstars in college apart is their efficiency. I have wanted to believe that he would 'figure it out' and get out of his slump, but he has had too many terrible games this year. Even his good games have not been particularly efficient.
While i still believe that he will be a starter and a 'franchise-face' type of player, I am starting to have doubts whether any team that he leads can score efficiently enough to make a deep run in the playoffs.
I really want him to prove me wrong in the Big 12 tourney and March Madness, but i just don't see it happening. He will need a complete overhaul in his shooting form and playing style, but i just don't see him developing that much.
What do you think?
40% FG 30% 3FG 3.2 TOPG
You have to humble yourself and realise that marcus is still a young developing basketball player. Who has the potential to develop into a great combo guard in the NBA. He's also still growing in his ability to balance the need to be a scorer and facilitator from the point guard position ( example:when to pass and when to shoot ) And no doubt has to improve his shot selection skills. I believe that marcus actually has pretty decent shooting mechanics, and once he improves his shot selection skills, then he will naturally become a more efficient shooter.
The reality is that I personally don't think that marcus will ever be a elite level scorer, but will most likely develop into a elite level playmaker, defender, and decision maker. Who can score at a high level when needed and provide his team with a great combination of mental toughness, physical toughness, and leadership abilities. He's just a tremendous competitor who will do whatever it takes to help his team win
In the past I thought that marcus smart had the potential to develop into a less athletic version of Dwyane Wade, but now I think that if marcus can continue to develop his point guard skills. That he as the potential to develop into a player that is very similar to andre miller
I don't disagree with everything you said after your first sentence and before your last one. Miller was an elite passer in his prime, and i don't think Smart is that kind of player. The strength of his game will be his leadership, competitiveness, defense, and playmaking, but Miller was not a great athlete. In fact, they really are not alike at all, except for their competitiveness and leadership.
His shooting numbers scream 'bust,' which is what worries me. I know things can improve, but shot selection doesn't get any easier in the NBA, and the 3 point line is farther away. Too many guys were great athletes and high volume shooters in college, who didn't pan out.
In fact, his offensive game reminds me a little bit of Dejuan Wagner, which is not a good thing. I do think that he will be a good NBA player, mainly because of his commitment to defense and competitiveness, but i have doubts that he could ever be a superstar, because of his lack of efficiency.
I think Marcus Smart could have Billups written all over him.
-Will be able to take smaller PGs in the paint & be effective.
-Loves to hit BIG shots for his team & elevate his play late in games.
-A natural born leader.
-Not the best of passers, but will develop his game to where he makes the RIGHT decisions 99% of the time. (like Billups)
The key for him is to prove that he can knock down shots consistently.
"One thing that sets superstars in college apart is their efficiency."
Wrong. Wrong. Wrong. Numbers come with a series of events that have context, and one has to understand the context to properly analyze the numbers. A guy who sits under the hoop catches dump offs and barely ever touches the ball outside the paint is going to have a more efficient looking stat sheet, but not necessarily someone who helps bring about a more efficient team because his limitations shift the burden onto others so that the stats do not reveal all that needs to be known.
"Even his good games have not been particularly efficient."
No. When Marcus Smart has had bad gams, it is because he is taking more jumpers and not getting into the paint. When Ok State went to Kansas, Smart got into the paint, got to the line, and had as good of a game against a top team as anyone has had this year. The other night, the lane was bottled up in a very physical game. When he got there, he mostly ended up on the line. When he couldn't he settled for jumpers, which is his biggest weakness. The reason he has, for the most part, been better in conference play is that there seemed to be an epiphany during the holiday break where Smart seemed to realize that both he and the team would be much better off with him not relying so much on perimeter shots. It doesn't mean he doesn't shoot when a shot has to go up or is open, but it is not as prominent a part of his game. As a result he is shooting a higher percentage in conference than in non-conference, getting to the line more often, and has Ok State playing at a higher level than anyone really expected them to be. To say that he hasn't changed his playing style is ignoring the fact that he has made a huge adjustment from the early season to now.
Now, come tournament time, I would be worried about seeing them on a line with a really good interior defense. I would worry about how long it will take Smart to become a good jump shooter in the pros. If he can make a good clip of his mid-range shots, he will be an upper echelon player in the NBA, but there is no guarantee it happens (i.e. Tyreke Evans). Those are the worries, not the efficiency numbers.