Adams is going to be drafted in the mid-to-late first round in the 2013 draft. I feel that with one more year at Pitt, where he would get a ton offensive opportunities and playing time, he could be a lock as a lottery pick in 2014.
Steven has the size and potential to be a great defensive threat and offensive rebounder, but he is so unpolished overall that he will ride the bench for most of his first year in the league. What he needs is offensive touches and tons of playing time to get a more natural feel for the game (he has only been playing since his early teens).
I have heard that his family has financial woes and he needs to step to the plate and begin to support the ones around him.
That is the only reason him coming out early could make any sense.
Even then, I think he would make quite a bit more money being drafted in the top 10 in 2014 versus in the top 20 or so in 2013.
Reminds me of Byron Mullens, not in style of play as much as in story. So much hype coming out of high school but clearly too raw, will slip to mid 20s and be stuck at the end of the bench for the next 3 years or so.
It's difficult to argue against him leaving bc of his family. It's touching, but if Im considering drafting him, Ill have concerns about him after he gets the money. He'll get a few millions in the league, heck, probably endorsement deals back home. With his family "relatively taken care of" would he have the drive to actually improve and reach his potential?
The other side of that coin is when he is able to take care of his family will that free his mind up and allow him to thrive.
I do agree that Steven Adams game isn't ready for him to go pro yet, but he has the distinct advantage of being a 7 footer which will give him a lot of opportunity to develop. A raw guard whose game isn't ready can find there way out of the league before their rookie contract is up but a raw big guy (by that I mean 6'10 or taller) can hang around forever even if they never get better ie Darko, Kwame, Adonal Foyle for all those years.
Every player is different, and one similar players' success by no means guarantee's another one's a year later, but it's hard not to draw some similarities between Adams and Andre Drummond. I was a huge skeptic of Drummond coming out last season, in regards to his immediate impact, but what he's done has lead me to believe that Adams could maybe achieve some of Drummond's rookie success.
Adams is a very mobile 7 footer, with an NBA ready body and his ability to guard the rim, rebound and react around the rim are things that can give some playing time as the rest of your game develops. As much as people like to focus on the speed of the game, and claim that teams aren't interested in big men anymore, it's just not true. Teams would still love a guy like Adams, who is massive and has the speed to run the floor, he also has a shot that just needs more reps. It's not ugly, it's not broken, and I think he's about 2 years away from being a 65% FT shooter.
I think Adams could be drafted in the top 10 and rebound and block shots, right away. Maybe he's a little more Omer Asik than Andre Drummond, but Asik is still a double double center starting for a playoff team in his third year.
Physically Adams probably isn't too far off Drummond in the same way that Meyers Leonard wasn't, but what separates Drummond from other big men is his ability to handle the ball, his great passing ability and his ability to defend perimeter players - remember when he stole the ball from Wade and went coast to coast on back to back possessions? Drummond moves like a guard.
Drummond lacks polish as a big man in the post, but he's not the raw basketball player that Adams and other similar prospects are, just a raw big man.
That isn't to say that Adams can't do what Drummond did in his rookie year, but there are definitely some key differences between the two of them.