Sewok's loterry mock draft with comments and comparisons
My comparisons are a mix of combinations of players as well as ceiling/basement examples. It is something I just threw together tonight so if you have any suggestions you think are better feel free to throw them at me.
1. Cleveland- Nerlens Noel- Cleveland wins the lottery again but this year there is no Kyrie Irving. Experts expect Noel to be the pick so while he isn't the highest rated player on my draft board I do think he will most likely go #1. He is a defensive force who can defend the pick and roll and defend the rim. He is highly athletic especially running the floor and has a 7-4 wingspan. His body is also one of his weak points though weighing a measly 206 pounds. He is also coming off of a torn ACL and won't be ready for the start of the season. Offensively he may never develop into much of a threat outside of easy baskets and offensive rebounds. He has shown decent ball handling and passing skills for a young big men. Nerlens is a stat sheet stuffer and could develop into a combination of Joakim Noah and Larry Sanders.
Other possible: Ben McLemore, Otto Porter
2. Orlando- Ben McLemore- Everybody knows Orlando is in desperate need of a point guard so trading out of this spot and back a couple picks to draft Burke could make sense. Ben McLemore is the #1 player on my board and has the tools to score 20 points a game in the NBA. He has a silky smooth jumpshot and great athleticism. Ben had a major issue with assertiveness in his first year at Kansas and was nowhere to be found early in the NCAA tourney. If he maintains an aggressive demeanor from an early age he could develop into an all-star. I believe McLemore has the highest upside of any player in this draft class. With his scoring ability Ben McLemore could develop into a combination of Ray Allen and Jason Richardson.
Other possible: Trey Burke
3. Washington- Otto Porter- Washington gets lucky enough to move up right into the Otto Porter range. He is just the type of small forward they need. A core of Wall, Beal and Porter going forward could be one of the best in the East for years. Porter is a defensive juggernaut who can defend multiple positions. He always is in the right place and is very long. Offensively he can do a lot of things as well. His mid range game is his strength and his ability to blend in will mess perfectly in DC. He is also underrated as a finisher attacking the basket and running the floor. Porter is possibly the lowest risk player in this draft class. Porter could develop into a combination of Nic Batum and Tayshaun Prince.
Other possible: Anthony Bennett
4.Charlotte- Anthony Bennett- Charlotte needs a lot of help and could possibly attempt to trade up to the 2nd spot and grab McLemore. Orlando could get Burke at 4th and possibly pick up an early 2nd rounder as well. If Charlotte doesn't trade they will be in a very interesting spot. They will most likely be selecting between Alex Len and Anthony Bennett here. Mullens and Byambo were bad and worse playing inside last year. I believe Charlotte needs a lot of offensive help and Bennet is a more versatile offensive player so he has the edge. Bennett is athletic and skilled despite being undersized he should be able to hold his own at power forward in the NBA. Bennett hit over 1 3 pointer a game at UNLV so he has shown potential to develop NBA range. Bennett won't wow anybody on defense but his toughness should take him a long way. He has been invoking quite a few Larry Johnson comparisons and with the Hornets name coming back to Charlotte why not bring in Bennett as well? His skill-set is reminiscent of LJ but I don't think he will come in and be an instant 20-10 guy. I believe he will be more like LJ on the knicks and give you 12 and 6. He could develop into a combination of Larry Johnson and Rodney Rogers.
Other possible: Alex Len
5. Phoenix- Victor Oladipo- The suns are another team that needs quite a bit of help. Dragic is possibly their best player so while Burke is the highest rated player on my board I don't see them going that direction. I believe this pick is between Len and Oladippo. Gortat could be a serviceable NBA center for a couple more years. Their wings are in desperate need of an upgrade. Victor Oladipo is someone who will fit in with your team and do the little things to help you win. He has the potential to an elite perimeter defender. Victor has improved offensively leaps and bounds. His jumpshot improving has opened up more lanes to the basket. I think this pick has a lot less risk than picking Len with similar reward potential. Some people have Victor ranked #1 on their entire draft boards which is a bit much in my mind but he should be an NBA starter for many years. Victor could develop into a combination of Tony Allen and Matt Barnes.
Other possible: Alex Len
6. Pelicans- Trey Burke- New Orleans already has their future star in Anthony Davis. They luck out and get the chance to get their future leader at #6. If Trey Burke doesn't go to Orlando you would imagine he wouldn't fall past this spot. Vazquez played well this year but they must pay him soon and he isn't a top 15 point guard. Burke is a clutch player who is relentless attacking offensively. He carried his Michigan team final game with scoring and passing. Burke is also underrated defensively and despite his lack of elite level quickness he is a capable defender. Burke isn't a super athete like Derrick Rose or Russell Westbrook coming out of college but he does have a similar pedigree when it comes to leadership and intensity. Trey Burke is the best PG prospect in this draft and I think he was neck and neck with Marcus Smart despite what others say. I think he could surprise at the next level and develop into a combination of Deron Williams and Jameer Nelson.
Other possible: Alex Len
7.Kings- Alex Len- Sacremento should just be happy to still have a team after the last couple months. They didn't win the lottery but this isn't a great year to win the lottery. You can still blow up this team that has been rebuilding the last 8 years and be in lottery contention next year. Sticking with that theme I believe the Kings should take the BPA and grab Alex Len here. Demarcus Cousins is a talented player but he has proven it won't work for him in Sactown. I would move Cousins for some more young assets and picks or maybe attempt a Cousins for Rondo trade and have an elite PG to move forward with. Alex Len wasn't talked about much this year at Maryland but was very solid. He didn't get a ton of post touches but he made the most of what he got. He took it two Mason Plumlee in two victories over Duke. Alex showed a good amount of improvement from year one to year two at College Park. He isn't a great shot blocker but plays solid positional defense and grabs a good amount of rebounds. Len has good potential and could end up being the most complete big man in this draft. Alex could develop into a combination of Big Z and Chris Kaman (both of whom were former all star centers.)
Other possible: Cody Zeller, MCW, McCollum
8.Pistons- Shane Larkin- Detroit must feel great after hitting it big with Drummond last year. It wasn't that tough of a pick honestly because more of the "internet experts" like us were high on him than the real experts were. I had him ranked #2 on my big board going into the draft. I don't think Detroit will get quite that lucky this year but they can still get a quality player in this spot. We know with Monroe and Drummond up front they aren't going to draft another inside player. Brandon Knight apparently switching to SG is another interesting variable to put in the equation. This opens up the door for MCW would tested well and could play well next to Knight. He could guard the bigger guards and also would have a great shooter next to him to spread the floor. Shabazz was mentioned as another possibility here but he seems to be dropping even further than he already has. He would be a solid fit with their need for a 3 but I am calling an even bigger surprise pick here. I think the Pistons do draft a new point guard and I think they draft the riser of the draft in Shane Larkin. Shane putting up those huge numbers at the combine could have calmed the issues that teams had with his size. Larkin is a dynamic player who can score inside and outside. He ran the Miami offense tremendously this season and should have been ACC player of the year. It might be a bit of a reach to get a point guard under 6 foot in the top 10 but Larkin could be the guy the pistons want running the show moving forward. Comparison Nate Robinson/Will Bynum
Other possible: MCW, McCollum, Shabazz
9. Minnesota- CJ McCollum- The Twolves would most likely be thrilled if CJ McCollum falls to them here. He is probably the the best pure scorer in the draft. CJ would fit well next to Rubio and fill the void they had hoped Brandon Roy would. CJ can play off the ball and on the ball and has improved his outside shot. He isn't a great defender but his experience will help him adjust to the NBA level athletes. McCollum along with a healthy Kevin Love could put the TWolves on their way to the playoffs for the first time since KG was in town. Comparison Jason Terry/Ben Gordon
Other possible: KCP
10.Portland- Kentavious Caldwell Pope- The Blazers have the ROY in Lillard and a promising young center prospect in Myers Leonard as well. I think the best fit for their team at this point could be Kentavious Caldwell Pope. He is a guy who has been rising up draft boards after an under the radar season. KCP was constantly double and triple teamed at UGA and still put up solid numbers. He is a prototypical SG who can knock down outside shots and get to the rim. He isn't an amazing athlete but he his a very good one. He had more turnovers than assists so his decision making and ball handling could use some work but he will be able to score in the NBA from day one. Comparsion Nick Young/Marshon Brooks
Other possible: Cody Zeller
11. Philly- Cody Zeller- The Sixers are a team that needs everything besides a point guard. The best prospect on my board at this point is Cody Zeller. Zeller was a potential #1 pick going into the season but didn't show enough this year. He didn't look as explosive as he did as a frosh. He appeared to have trouble finishing at the rim. That being said Zeller was still one of the best players in the NCAA. He is very athletic for a player his size and can run the floor with the best of them. He isn't a great defender and has appeared to have mental lapses at the end of big games defensively. Zeller has all the tools to be a solid starting Big man in the NBA and should be a solid value pick at this point. Comparison Patrick Patterson/Kris Humphries
Other possible: Steven Adams, Mason Plumlee
12. OKC- Steven Adams- The Thunder are in the lottery for the first time since picking Russell Westbrook. They are only here because of a trade but still they are picking in the lotto. What they will do with this pick could be anyones guess. They could be the first to take an international player like Gobert or Saric. They could also take a player who could jump right into their rotation like Plumlee or Olynck. They could surprise everyone and take Shabazz to fill the Harden/Martin role. I think what they will end up doing is taking the big man with the biggest upside remaining. That player is a guy that many around here are high on. Steven Adams is a physical specimen. He is a highly athletic 7 footer which is hard to find. He has big time defensive potential and although he is a project he could be a monster. Offensively he leaves a lot to be desired but he did show a surprisingly solid shooting touch at the combine. Comparison Tyson Chandler/Omar Asik
Other possible: Shabazz, Saric, Plumlee, Olynck, Gobert,
13. Dallas- Michael Carter-Williams- The Mavs are in need of just about everything. Mayo has a player option and Dirk is aging. They have tons of cap room heading forward so who knows what this team will truly look like in 2014. The Mavs could use a floor leader moving forward and the best one available at this point is likely Michael Carter Williams. He isn't quite J Kidd but he plays the game in that way that he can effect the outcome without scoring. MCW tested off the charts and has great size as a PG. He is the best passer in this draft class. He also is one of the worst shooting guards in the draft class. Defensively he should be very good despite playing mostly zone in college. I don't think he will be ready to lead from day one but over time he could be a solid NBA point guard. Comparison Shaun Livingston/Greivis Vasquez
Other possible: Glenn Rice Jr, Schroeder, Shabazz, Giannis Adetokundo
14 Utah- Dennis Schroeder- The Jazz are another team that is in desperate need of a young point guard. I think they could go over seas to get theirs and draft the fast rising Dennis Schroeder. I have heard speculation of Dallas drafting the young German PG as their future leader and grooming him under the wing of Dirk, so these two prospects could easily be switched. I don't know much about Schroeder at this point so I won't pretend to. I have heard NBA comparisons of Darren Collison and Patrick Beverly.
Other possible: Lorenzo Brown, Isaiah Canaan
Those last two possible picks would be real reaches but the Jazz really really need a point guard...they started Jamal Tinsley 32 games last year. Mo Williams or Randy Foye aren't the answer either. I will work on picks 15-30 this week...thank you.
Don't agree with everything you said, but a lot of work put into that and i can appreciate that. Great work and some things i thought were dead on especially on a couple of the descriptions and comparisons. Nice job
Shane Larkin at 8?
Yeah it's crazy I know....that is me going out on a limb. I see the possibility of either Sacremento or Detroit falling in love with a PG. It could be Schroeder or MCW....I went with Larkin who isn't expected to go in the lotto but I wouldn't be shocked to see him move up.
I will personally guarantee you right now that Shane Larkin will not be a lottery pick. A sub 6 foot height and wingspan pretty much guarantees that in itself, and he's not elite in any aspect of his game (his combine numbers don't really translate to the court).
Nate Robinson was drafted 21st back in 2005 which is right where this site has Larkin projected. If you look back at the 2005 draft players like Marvin Williams, Charlie Villanueva and Ike Diogu were taken top 10. Fran Vasquez, Yaroslav Korolev, Rashad McCants, Sean May, and Antoine Wright were all taken in the top 15 players. You can throw late picks from that draft like David Lee, Monta Ellis, and Lou Williams ahead of Robinson but he is still a top 15 pick from that draft looking back without a doubt. He is under 6 foot with short arms as well. He makes up for it with elite athleticism.
I think Larkin can be considered elite at one aspect of his game. He is probably the best guard at breaking down his man off the dribble in this draft. The only guy I think is even close would be Pierre Jackson who I think can also be a useful NBA player. So he might not go 8th overall or even end up being picked in the lottery but I think when you look back on this draft people will regret passing on Shane Larkin...especially if they want a point guard who can shoot from the outside and take it to the basket.
If the Pelicans take Trey Burke, what happens to Austin Rivers? Also, like your reason for the Cavaliers taking Nerlens, considering we just re hired Mike Brown who is a defensive coach we may just end up taking him to be our defensive force in the paint.
Rivers is not a point guard. Burke is a point guard. Rivers was awful as a rookie and even though Monty Williams even brought his name up as a guy they are excited to move forward with I am not convinced. Rivers seems like his best role will be as a 6th man who can dominate the ball on the 2nd unit. Rivers doesn't really fit well in any team first system. He isn't a good outside shooter or a good playmaker. Burke is an all around better player than Rivers so if I were New Orleans I would take my PG of the future and wouldn't worry too much about Rivers development and hope he can still contribute down the road off the bench most likely.