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Rookie Fantasy Impact

KingJames00
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Rookie Fantasy Impact

Aside from A.Davis who has the biggest stat potential 2 years down the road. Here is my best Guess. What yall think?

Guards

1. J.Lamb

2.B.Beal

3.T.Ross

Forwards

1,H.Barnes

2.MK.Gilchrist

3.PJIII(Still a fan despite the drop too 28)


ProudGrandpa
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Sleeper

I think one guy who could make an immediate impact is JOhn Jenkins. He's in a good situation (Hawks need help at SG) and he's been tearing it up in the Summer League. ANy team could use his shooting right away.

aamir543
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Whtehr he's in Houston or

Whtehr he's in Houston or Orlando, Jeremy Lamb will be a stud, I think he's gonna averaged 15 a game, the only problem is that he plays really similar to Kevin Martin and he tends to take too many long threes, but other than that I really think he along with the other two rooks from this year plus Montie, Asik, Lin, Martin, Parsons, and Patterson can really make some nois this year.

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MKG might not get you the

MKG might not get you the points or the shooting percentages, but he could really get some steals, blocks, rebounds, and even some assists while scoring decently at either the SF or SG position. He and Anthony Davis are both two guys who could fill up a stat sheet.

Not sure about Beal. If his shooting stats aren't that great then he might just be a volume scorer. Especially if his superior rebounding fails to translate.

I agree with Proud Grandpa. John Jenkins could be a guy to look at, especially if you need a 3 point shooter later on in your fantasy draft. He could offer great value for a "shooter".

I don't know if PJIII will give you enough minutes for his stats to really add up. He won't be the focal point of the offense, nor will he be playing with a pass-first point guard.

KingJames00
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Maybe Montienus from Houston,

Maybe Montienus from Houston, if he wins a starting spot might be in line for big year, i do like JJ game 2, he could start right away your right

benny15
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as a rookie pick, i'll

as a rookie pick, i'll probably be looking at Damian Lillard just because theres not much depth at his position in portland. will get minutes and touches on a nightly basis. as far as down the line, id still have him on the list, but really way too early to tell. i mean, these guys havent even had a training camp yet..

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I can see Valenciunas putting

I can see Valenciunas putting up pretty solid double double numbers within the first year or two. He is likely to be starting almost right away, is all about the inside game, and can score well both off the glass or in the pick and roll. Add at least 2 or 3 blocks in there and you have some solid numbers at the 5 spot.

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I think these are the fantasy

I think these are the fantasy relevant guys. Most of it relates to minutes and efficiency:

- Anthony Davis -- will get minutes. will get you blocks, which are always valuable. probably high FG% as well.

- Lillard -- depth chart looks good. he's ready to contribute now. and he has an efficient game. May not get many assists... but he's almost certain to get you 3s.

- Beal -- he'll get minutes. not sure about his efficiency, but he's got good potential

- Rivers -- I think he'll get a lot of minutes from day 1. who knows how efficient he'll be.

- Lamb -- will get minutes. I bet martin is traded soon. scored efficiently in college and that should continue

- Sullinger -- in line for decent minutes. Should be a good rebounder and FT shooter off the bat. Upside if there is any injury to KG or Bass. He is bostons only post threat, so he could be in line for a lot of touches.

- Teague - could be in line for a ton of minutes while Rose is out

ENOGSIWONdede
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basically asking who will be

basically asking who will be the best player, MKG

JoeWolf1
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OKC is a contender. They

OKC is a contender. They won't be giving a lot of minutes to PJIII because he's behind Ibaka and Collison at the 4 spot. Durant plays 39 mpg at the 3 position and in their 2nd unit they often run smaller lineups. There really aren't a lot of minutes to go around at the SF and PF positions for that team. I hate to say it, but I think PJIII will be learning from a bench or D-League role next season. Still, a pretty good pick at 28, but not one that is going to help you out as a rookie.

5 mpg minimum -12 mpg maximum for Perry as a rookie, I think he'll be around 8 mpg for 3 ppg 1.7 rpg .5 apg in about 35-45 games.

rhamnlacson
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drummond

will have a huge fantasy impact this year if he mixes well with Monroe and would be a 12.1ppg 10.1 rpg 2.0bpg and 4apg kind of guy in his rookie season

this is aside from anthony davis ofcourse

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I think that's very

I think that's very optimistic. Drummond, as all rookie shot blockers, will foul A LOT. In the NBA, you pick up 2 in the 1st quarter, you're on the bench until half time.

I am also shocked on where you're getting the 4 apg number. Since November of last year's college season spanning though this year's Summer League, Andre Drummond has dished out 19 assists. What you could see him doing in a 5 game span in the NBA. No way Andre Drummond comes into the NBA and drops more dimes in a 5 game stretch than he did in his previous 37 games combined.

Drummond went to a good situation for his development, but he will not be a rookie beast. He had some nice spots in his summer league performance averaging 7.4 ppg 5.4 rpg and 2 bpg to go with .4 assists ( his career mark post high school). I think a much more realisitic expectations would be around 6 ppg 5 rpg and 1.6 bpg and .4 apg in his first NBA season.

rhamnlacson
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you might

be forgetting that the uccon situation that he was in was very chaotic to even judge drummond based on his one year in college is a bad thing to do remember taht drummond is in a good situation now with monroe a good passing big man in the game and drummond in his hs and summer league appearance showed promise of also being a good passing big man sad to say the fre throws is not there

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You predicted that Drummond,

You predicted that Drummond, in the NBA, will increase his assist mark ten fold as a rookie and since I don't believe that I'm un-fairly judging him? Greg Monroe, Mr. Young Post Passer himself has never averaged more than 2.3 apg in his first 2 seasons.

There is a learning curve and despite Drummond's potential he hasn't proved himself as a whiz when it comes to adjusting and dominating. There were only 7 players in the NBA who averaged a points/rebound double double. Andre Drummond will not be one of the 7-9 players who do that next season as a rookie.

Greg Monroe, a much more NBA ready prospect averaged 9.4 ppg 7.5 rpg and 1.3 apg as a rookie and you really think Drummond is going to come in and give Detroit 12/10/2/4 ?

rhamnlacson
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perhaps im being to optimistic

with andre drummond but i think he would atleast post up amare stoudamire rookie numbers in his first season but i still think he is an all star in the making if he stays injury free and reaches his true potential he can adopt well in the city that he is in thats for sure but my only concern with drummond now is can he adjust to his team fast enough to make an strong impact and hearing the rumorrs from the pistons management that they might bring up dennis rodman and rasheed wallace to help with the development of monroe and drummond makes me even more optimistic about this kids future thats why im making that bold prediction as of now that he will average those kind of numbers as a rookie(12.1ppg/10.1rpg/2.0 bpg) i may went to high on the assist cat though sorry

JoeWolf1
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Very few players reach their

Very few players reach their true potential as a rookie. Developing big men is a long, slow process. Take a look at these numbers. I think those numbers, many say pessimistically, are more along the lines of Drummond's ceiling. Young centers are generally the slowest to develop. Drummond was not that productive in college, a vast minority of players have an easier time as an NBA rookie than they did in the NCAA. Calhoun's issues aside, he still played against weaker competition and put up solid, 10 ppg 7 rpg 2.7 bpg numbers. I flat out, do not see his stats going up against bigger, stronger, more experienced competition.

rhamnlacson
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but as

for rookie of the year goes of motiejunas coulld stay healthy he could have more impact than anthony davis in the scoring dept since montiejunas is such a pure scorrer and has great 3pt range he is in my estimation if his stats would pair up to his stats in the summer league would be rookie of the year in the regular season the guy gould ave 18ppg as a rookie or more

rhamnlacson
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@joe

you might be forgeting that luis scola was ranked lower than pj3 in the draft and so was marc gasol i think its all about pj3 being at the right place at the right time he could shine given the right situation

and remember jeremy lin was no even drafted we all know that your position in the draft does not affect a players abilty at all its all up to the player on how he handles his situation and on how he excels in his new found role in the nba

i thnk pj3 given that he stays injury free and plays hard and works hard could make him a good 6th man in the team

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This has nothing to do with

This has nothing to do with his draft stock and everything to do with what team he's on. I think Doron Lamb will make a big contribution and he was taken in the 40's. Why? because of what team he's on and the minutes that will be available for him.

Look at how they play their rookies too.

2011-12 -Reggie Jackson #24 - 11.1 mpg, Ryan Reed #57 -3.4 mpg,

2010-11 - Cole Aldrich #11 - 7.9 mpg

2009-10 - James Harden #3 - 22.9 mpg, B.J. Mullins #24 - 4.2 mpg, Serge Ibaka #24 (2008) 18.1 mpg

They are known for bringing their guys along slowly. James Harden was picked 3rd and he only got 23 mpg as a rookie. I know the 2nd round steals, I get that good guys drop. My prediction, of Jones, has nothing to do with him being picked at 28 and everything to do with what team he's on and who he's behind on the depth chart.

rhamnlacson
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good

just wanted to clear that up

JoeWolf1
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Thanks, I thought me listing

Thanks, I thought me listing their entire depth chart at the 3 and 4 positions and stating there won't be a lot of minutes for such a competitive team did that, but you read that as " I'm biased towards players picked late in the draft" then so be it. We're clear now.

mj23mj23bestever
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this pj3 stuff

hell b lucky too c the floor becoming the 6th man someone said last i chekced the thunder have the best 6th man in basketball hes not gonna beat out collison for minutes and as people have mentionted brooks dont play rookies alot now for the fantasty impact rooks davis is gonna be a solid fg per guy block alot of shots get reb and average around 12 too 14 solid rookie numbers motie is gonna score for the rockets and b solid on 3s lamb can piss off hell score around 15 a game but hes gonna turn it over alot and shoot around 40 per so u can have that i like lilliard too hes gonna put up around 15 and 6 imo hes the starting pg from the start

ENOGSIWONdede
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Durant is really the 2 guard

Durant is really the 2 guard position listings are very arbitrary

Aldrich

Ibaka

Jones

Durant

Westbrook

that will be OKC's starting lineup in a couple of years

ENOGSIWONdede
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Durant is really the 2 guard

Durant is really the 2 guard position listings are very arbitrary

Aldrich

Ibaka

Jones

Durant

Westbrook

that will be OKC's starting lineup in a couple of years

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