Mitch McGray once a player considered a lottery pick, posted 21 points and 14 rebounds today, both career highs, in Michigan's win against VCU...If Michigan makes a deep run in the tourney and McGray keeps posting up double doubles, his stock could raise, possibly all the way up to the lower end of the lottery around 13, 14
Yes, no doubt his stock will rise much if they reach the final four, but certainly, if it comes out this year will be a bust, leaving must be Junior, and could have a career like Tyler Hansborugh.
Glenn Robinson can be really good, if it falls in the right equipment, otherwise, you will have a career like Xavier Henry, if you quit being Junior, will be a star.
He's still considered a lotto pick in my eyes, but not 2013 I still think he comes back for a year. If you can get past his raw numbers (his rates OTOH are actually really good), and look at the attributes that he brings to the table he can be a very valuable player to an NBA franchise.
Unlike a lot of coaches who are just recruiters and snake oil salesmen, Beilein IS the type of coach that players can improve under. McGary has progressed a lot during the yr and would continue to do so. He needs to improve the touch on his jumper, which has good form, his post instincts and his conditioning, but he's well on his way to being a legit NBA contributor as soon as 2014.
He and Glenn robinson III need to go back to school. Michigan will be good again next year with those 2 leading the charge.
i can see his stock rising at best to the very end of the lotto to first round material if he stays at least two more years. if he comes out this year and cracks the lotto, then michigan must win it all while he averages like twenty two and eleven the rest of the way. not going to happen.
He doesn't need another 2 yrs IMO. He's already physically able to compete at the NBA level. While his skills catch up, he can still contribute in the meantime with his energy, dirty work, rebounding and defense. Those qualities will get a player PT early in his career. His defense in particular is such a surprise for a big at his stage. He really moves his feet well and he has the strength and willingness to battle in the post.
i agree, it's just that i am counting on next year's draft class to push him out of lotto contention. he might be able to get first round next year imo. but that's a maybe. if he waits two years it's a yes. yes he will be a first round pick, maybe even lotto. that would be the difference. but it's all speculation of the next draft class being that good.
I think he'd be a shoo in for at least late teens 1st next yr, with late lotto upside. Highly touted freshman, are sometimes just that. Expectations are usually higher than their readiness.
IMO there isn't a maybe at all as far as McGary being a first rounder. If he declares this yr he's a first rounder as well.
His combination of mobility, size and strength is highly coveted especially on the defensive end where NBA bigs are expected to be able to switch and guard in space.
Many of us have had this conversation before, but I see him like a Nick Collison type player, who happened to go in the lotto, but he really shouldn't come out this year, give him a few years and let him have a historic college career at Michigan.
6'10" athletes with a motor will always be drafted in the first round; regardless of skill or actual production. McGary has shown enough of both to ensure he will be a top 25 pick whenever comes out.
To sort of play devils advocate, is it possible that McGary would be best served leaving this year with Trey Burke? McGary has been somewhat of a revelation to me on his rolls to the hoop or those sweeping drives from either elbow when he has to face up. These are looks tha are mostly created off the high screen and roll with Burke. I doubt we see much hi screen and roll with Albrrecht running the point. I would assume Michigan will play more like the West Virginia teams with Pittsnoggle ( how much do you miss that name?) and Gansy. Mc Gary doesn't project to ever be like Pitsnoggle, so (again), would McGary be best served leaving this year with a much smaller talent pool and having played in a far more favorable system this season?
Derrick Walton is a PG they have coming who is also advanced for his age at distributing and the PnR game. I think he'll be the starter next yr. To me Albrecht is a core player, but a college back up.