Miami Big 3 renewals
I just wondered what people think will happen with the Miami Big 3's Team options for 2014-15 and 2015-16, will they all opt out next summer, will some opt in for a year and opt out in 2015 etc or wait until 2016.
Will they all take slightly below market value or will they all seek the biggest deals they can get but it could break up the big 3?
Could D-Wade and Bosh actually be persuaded to take less to give LeBron the biggest possible deal as he is clearly the best player in NBA.
Personally I feel that LeBron will opt out next year but will stay in Miami and they pay him whatever he wants within the cap rules. Bosh could either opt in or delay a year or two I feel but I think he'd look for a deal to take him to 2018/19 but may have to work around LeBron's deal. A lot could depend if another team offers him more money but I feel Miami still has the best chance to keep him as alongside LBJ he'd have by far the best chance of continued success.
D-Wade will be 32 by summer 2014 so not to take up $20.5 million in 2014-15 and over $22 million in 2015-16 might seem a bit strange. He would be 34 by 2016 so any deal after that would be more likely in $12 to $15 million range perhaps. Plus having been a Heat player all his career then would he want to move or would the Franchise want to risk losing their longest serving player. I wonder whether Miami may look to level out luxury tax concerns in 2014 to 2016 by offering Wade a longer deal next summer say until 2018 but at a more flat rate each year say $17 to $18 million a year.
Or they look to frontload either Bosh or D-Wade and back load the other so their combined salary each year is roughly the same and works better against the cap.
I don't think they are going to be able to keep all 3 of them. The problem in the NBA are the HUGE raises players get. They could easily afford to give each player the current max deal in year one, but the 15 million quickly turns into over 20 million in 4 years with 7.5% raises. Miami is going to have to put some serious thought into what they want to do, but I have read in many different places how hard it is going to be to keep all 3 of them and how no team will be able to afford 3 max players. They will probably be better off keeping 2 of them while maintaining a good supporting cast.
They should rebuild around LeBron. Give a call to Kevin Durant. Let those two guys run Miami with Mario Chalmers as the third wheel and perhaps keep Udonis Haslem as the veteran big man off the bench.
I think that LBJ is going to leave. I'm not sure where he is going to go...but I have a feeling that he will get up out and move on...
If he goes anywhere else it will be back to Cleveland. I think he gives the Cavs a ring along with Kyrie Irving. Nice core there along with Dion Waiters, Tristan Thompson, Tyler Zeller, and whoever they draft this year.
This year AND next year ;) There are no real game changers in this draft so getting to the playoffs would mean significant improvement from Waiters and Thompson while depending on the health of Varejao and Irving. Two more lottery picks to go along with capspace in 2014? The future is bright in Cleveland.
Being all bout cash, there's no way Miami will be able to keep "the big three". They should trade Bosh during the summer, in return for a high draft picks or two good big men.
I wouldn't speculate anything now, but if LeBron leaves it's Cleveland and nowhere else. He worries so much about his brand and bolting anywhere else would put a dent in it.
16-17 months is a long time in the NBA world. Just think about where the NBA was 16 months ago.
With that said, almost every team is terrified of the luxury tax. I don't see them re-signing all 3 if it means swallowing the luxury tax ramifications.
Kobe and LeBron will play for the Bobcats and show MJ up!