[JoeWolf1]

 I’ve done this the past two years, and it is time for my annual stat projections for this years rookie class.  I’ve had success, in picking DeMarcus Cousins’ rookie stat line almost to the exact decimil and failures, such as Jimmer dropping 13.5 ppg.

It’s all for fun anyways, so here it goes.

All-Rookie First Team

Anothony Davis – 14.6 ppg 9.3 rpg .9 apg 1.8 bpg 1. spg 47/0/69

Jonas Valanciunas – 11.3 ppg 9.0 rpg 1.3 bpg .7 spg 51/0/74

Damian Lillard – 16.1 ppg 3.1 rpg 5.9 apg 1.3 spg 44/37/81

Brad Beal – 14.1 ppg 5.1 rpg 2.7 apg .9 spg 42/40/83

Andrew Nicholson – 12.7 ppg 7.4 rpg 1.9 apg 1.4 bpg 46/25/80

All-Rookie Second Team

Thomas Robinson – 10.6 ppg 7.7 rpg 2.1 apg 1 spg .8 bpg 45/10/69

Deon Waiters – 13.2 ppg 1.8 rpg 1.1 apg 1.3 spg 38/37/77

Harrison Barnes – 10.1 ppg 3.3 rpg 2.1 apg .9 spg 41/40/81

Doron Lamb – 12.1 ppg 2. rpg 1.3 apg .8 spg 42/40/83

Jae Crowder – 10. ppg 4.9 rpg 1.2 apg 1.1 spg .8 bpg 48/30/75

Other Notables –

Donatas Montejunas – 10.1 ppg 4 rpg .5 apg 50/39/68

MKG – 8.6 ppg 5.5 rpg 1.9 apg 1.4 spg 43/33/70

Terrance Ross – 5.6 ppg 2 rpg 1.5 apg 39/37/76

Andre Drummond – 6.9 ppg 6.5 rpg 1.5 bpg 49/0/35

Austin Rivers – 7.7 ppg 1.9 rpg 3 apg .7 spg 39/37/73

Jeremy Lamb – 9.1 ppg 3.3 rpg 1.9 apg 1.3 spg 45/34/72

Myeres Leonard – 7.1 ppg 5.1 rpg 1.1 bpg 44/15/78

John Henson – 6.7 ppg 4 rpg 1.3 bpg 45/0/73

Kendall Marshall – 4.6 ppg 1.7 rpg 5.3 apg 50/25/75

Terrance Jones – 7.4 ppg 4 rpg 1.3 bpg .8 spg 46/25/73

Tyler Zeller – 7.1 ppg 4.4 rpg 1.3 apg .9 bpg 43/25/79

Tony Wroten – 5.6 ppg 2.4 rpg 3.7 apg 42/34/67

Perry Jones III – 5.1 ppg 3 rpg 1 apg 44/29/72

Jared Sullinger – 5.9 ppg 4 rpg 46/0/69

Fab Melo – 1.1 ppg 1.9 rpg .7 bpg 39/0/50

Royce White – 4.4 ppg 2.1 rpg 1.7 apg 44/25/56

Festus Ezeli – 5.5 ppg 4.7 rpg 1.0 bpg 55/0/48

Nando De Colo – 4.5 ppg 2.2 rpg 3.9 apg 40/32/74

Draymond Green – 3.9 ppg 2.6 rpg 1.4 apg 45/31/70

Tyshawn Taylor – 3.7 ppg 1.6 rpg 2.2 apg 41/37/73

Scott Machado – 4.1 ppg 1.9 rpg 4 apg 43/30/72

 

 

 

[Bird_YearsParticipant]

Question for Joe Wolf, how heavily do you rely on preseason stats for these?

[JoeWolf1]

Somewhat, but not a lot because at the most it was a 8 game clip and at the least only one or two. Also, most of these guys were playing more minutes in the pre-season than they will get in the regular season.

A lot of very solid preseason performers will get a lot of DNP’s – Coaches Decisions when the season starts or a couple minutes at the end of a blowout when games matter.  For example, Bernard James had some really solid games and got a DNP last night in the opener.

[StonecoldParticipant]

Great list. It’s hard to argue with that list. But I tend to think Harrison Barnes is gonna avarage more ppg. I think his game is more suited to NBA then college and will be in ROY discussion. I also hope, just hope, that MGK will avarage more. My god the Bobcats need it…

[Seamo15Participant]

 I like the inclusion of Nicholson in the First team and Crowder in the Second. Nicholson is in a perfect position to make those numbers. Crowder’s becoming a bit more of a marksman really excites me, I’m looking at a good year from him

[baggin13Participant]

What do you predict on Alexey Shved?

[BothTeamsPlayedHardParticipant]

I know Pablo Prigioni is a fake rookie, but I do believe that he will have to be of some importance for New York. They are going to need to use Prigioni to ease the physical load on Felton and Kidd. Even if one believes that Felton can play 82 games and 30 minutes per (and I don’t think a ton of hands go up with that opinion), I know for sure that Kidd won’t be able to handle 82 games at 18 minutes per.

[slash787Participant]

 The two that pop out to me are.  I like both these players but based on their situations I wanted to see your logic behind their stat predictions.  Lamb’s short term value is hurt at OKC.  I see this benefiting him long term but this year not seeing it.  I can see Lamb earning some mintues but with Jennings and Ellis on the team I find it hard to see him scoring 12PPG.

Doron Lamb – 12.1 ppg 2. rpg 1.3 apg .8 spg 42/40/83

Jeremy Lamb – 9.1 ppg 3.3 rpg 1.9 apg 1.3 spg 45/34/72

[JoeWolf1]

 J.lamb – I don’t think OKC is invested in Martin, much past this year. I think they’ll find minutes for Lamb, especially beside Westbrook due to his strength in transition. I think he’ll get about 20 mpg and that is what I based his production on.

D.Lamb – The Bucks do have Ellis and Jennings, but who else? Lamb can shoot, which NBA teams always need, and the Bucks need someone to back up both guard positions. He’ll hit 20 mpg easily IMO and his shooting will get him points.

[Mr. 19134Participant]

Solid work.  I only disagree with a few predictions.  For Anthony Davis WILL HIT A 3 this year so I don’t think he’ll shoot 0 from 3.  He’s shown the ability to hit the NBA 3 and the willingness to take em so during what’s going to be a long year for the Hornets I expect him to take a couple.  Offensively coming into the NBA Anthony Davis reminds me a lot of Chris Bosh when he was a rookie for the Raps only AD is better in the paint.

I also think Dion Waiters is the most NBA ready 2guard for big minutes outside of JereI my Lamb who won’t get them.  Meaning I think Waiters will have a bigger year then Beal, Rivers, and Ross. Waiters is an underrated outside shooter and his ball handling ability will get him open shots, plus his strength will enable him to finish in the paint. Waiters should trail only Anthony Davis and Damien Lillard in rookie scoring.

I expect a big year out of Drummond, I think he’s more ready then JV is to contribute.  I see Drummond averaging around 10 and 7 with nearly 2 blocks a game.

Perry Jones and Tony Wroten are 2 rookies who could put up numbers right away but instead will be watching from the bench to often as rookies.

And watch out for Maalik Wayns.

[JoeWolf1]

 Good call on Wyans, he’ll get minutes for sure. 

[jmarg25Participant]

I cant see Crowder doing better than MKG this year. Statistacally or impact on their team wise.  

[JoeWolf1]

Had some good and some bad, as always, but as always it’s pretty fun.

Beal, Davis, Henson, Sullinger, Barnes, MKG, Zeller, Ross, Green were pretty darn close

Waiters and Drummond, I was dead on through Jan, but both guys showed more fortitude than I thought they had and powered through the rookie wall.

I went bold with Lamb and Crowder, haha, Crowder was actually putting up similar numbers until Vince Carter came back from injury. I was pretty far off on T-Rob too.

Nicholson and Valanciunas played well, but not quite as well as I thought.

[eazy_peachesParticipant]

Very solid predictions. It’s incredibly difficult to predict rookie production.

I remember reading the thread at the start of the season, so thanks for bumping it and holding yourself accountable. Always interesting to see how they held up.

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