I made my first prediction of the standings next season
So I made yet another blog post, this one being my first predictions on the standings next season. Here's a link with some initial, random thoughts about each team ( http://chickennoodlehoop.com/2013/08/11/my-first-stab-at-the-2013-14-nba... ) but I'll post the rankings here:
1. Oklahoma City
2. Los Angeles Clippers
3. San Antonio
5. Golden State
11. New Orleans
12. Los Angeles Lakers
5. New York
Other thoughts? Disagreements? The middle of the each conference (6-11 in the East, 7-11 in the West) feels like a crap shoot as it can go several different ways. I can't wait for the season to start and see it all play out.
Thanks for reading though if you do!
I feel its hard to peg some of these teams especially a team like the Raptors. Massai Ujiri has been clear that clearing house is not an issue (see the front office overhaul). With this in mind if the Raptors start the season poorly I believe he will be trying to wheel and deal getting rid of some of the guys Colangelo acquired/gave extensions to like Rudy, Lowry, Fields and maybe even Derozan.
Yeah I thought the same. They could pull some strings, but it looks very difficult for them to make enough moves to put them in the bottom five in the NBA.
Their schedule through Dec. 20th looks favorable, but then they go @DAL, @OKC, @SA, @NY, NY, @CHI, IND, @WAS, @MIA, @IND, DET, BRK over the next three weeks. Ow.
I haven't fully thought it about it until now, but you're probably right on New Orleans taking the 11th seed. The west is just so stacked, with Portland and Denver having the slight edge on them.
IMO Golden State will be top 3 in the West if everyone stays healthy. If Curry goes down, I think they'll be 5-8 in the standings. Also, I think the Jazz will be better than Pho & Sac. We'll see though - I hope your right (Wiggins).
Phoenix definetly finishes behind Utah. Don't forget they still have solid young players like Hayward, Favors, Kanter, Burks, and Burke.
I dont like Dallas as the 8th seed sorry
I think the clippers r gnna be a real force next yr... if everybody turns out to be healthy.. I have them in the finals
Why aren't you a writer for Nba.com already?
That would be a terrible signing on NBA.com's part.
and i don't think the Pelicans make the playoffs either, the west is so stacked...I'm just hoping they land the 8th-12th pick, my hometown 76ers would own their pick and have a good chance at landing a top 3 pick...
I can the see the Spurs, Thunders, Clippers and Rockets being seeded 1 through 4 in any order, I think the Grizzlies might slide back if Gasol or Randolph get injured(which could happen), Denver isn't aplayoff team IMO, no Karl,no Iggy, no playoffs...If Dirk stays healthy the Mavs make the playoffs, he and Ellis could be very similar to Dirk and Terry, Dalembert gives them a Chandler lite type of defensive pressence and Calderon can try his hand at running the team in a Jason Kidd role(minus the defense and rebounds)
The T'wolves and Warriors are both playoff teams IMO, both are young and talented but filled with good veterans...
The Grizzlies and Mavericks are the hardest to peg, because their overall team success relies on the health of their big men...If Dirk or Gasol go down for a significant amount of time I see their team falling out the playoff race, the Teams chasing them should be The Lakers, Nuggets, Blazers and Pelicans, The Kings are a Mess, The Jazz have some young talent that could take a lot of losses finding their way and Phoenix could be a complete disaster if Gortat and Dragic are moved for sake of Bledsoe and Len's development...The Lakers are still the Lakers and unless Gasol gets injured early and Kobe rest the entire season they'll win enough games to make a run at the 8th seed...
The east is a mixed bag after the Heat, Pacers, Bulls, Nets and possibly the Knicks, after that the Pistons, Cavs and Raptors have the best Teams if everyone is healthy, the Celtics could surprise some folks and not be terrible enough to get a top 10 pick, the Hawks could make the playoffs as an 8th seed if Horford/Milsap and Teague have a great year...No doubt about it though the Bucks, Bobcats, Magic and 76ers are going to be bottom feeders, the Wizards could make the playoffs IF John Wall and Brad Beal become all star level players and play for all 82 games, as I see it they miss the cut...
1. Clippers, Paul and Coach Rivers, with a better Blake Griffin could be the surprise top seed...
I can't wait till the season starts and the lakers prove everyone wrong. They finished 7th last year and were the 4th best team in the league from the half way point on. And that was with them injured as &$#%#&@!. All reports are that Kobe will be ready by game 1. Pau, Nash and hill all missed over 30 games last year and should be healthy now. Dantonni didnt take over til decemeber and had to adjust to a new system on the fly with no training camp or anything. Plus the two big man rotation just didn't work. Now the lakers have younger pieces in young, a healthy hill, farmar and Wesley Johnson to go with another solid big in kaman. I understand if people don't predict them to make the playoffs, but people are really overrating Dwight if they think his absence means the team falls off the earth.
I don't like mavericks over blazers, pelicans, or nuggets. I also see the hawks making it. They replaced smith with milsap who is extremely underrated. Other than that great list IMO. I'd switch pacers and bulls too.
But I think they need a few very important things to happen
1. They need Kobe to return at full strenght by Late November early December and he needs to score 25 ppg from the word go...
2. Pau Gasol and Steve Nash have to not only stay healthy all year but they both also have to resemble the players they were 2 or 3 years ago...
3. They will need someone else on that team to break out in D'Antoni's offensive system, Jordan Hill and Wes Johnson are the most likely but I wouldn't bet on that happening...
For the record, I have zero faith in Nash. I thought the lakers were better with Blake in the lineup last season and that says a lot. The best thing about Nash is that even at 38 and slow as &$#%#&@!, you can not play off him. He will still drill jumpers all day.
There are no reports that he will be ready for the season, except for 1 bad rumor. That injury takes longer to recover from.
The rest of the roster minus gasol is awful. Nash is old, and what else do they have? Nick young? Kaman? Blake? No NBA small forwards on the roster? They were barely a playoff team with Dwight and a great Kobe season. Stop being a homer, they're gonna suck.
I would disagree with the positioning of the top 5 in the east. By virtue of not having a night off in the central division. One of the atlantic teams will finish 2nd.
Also the knicks should get a little more respect. They are bigger and more skilled. They were among the top defensive teams in the NBA. Amare, Chandler and Bargani are all returning healthy.
I see the east;
Everyone plays everyone in the NBA. I'm sure you knew that already, but just wanted to mention every team in the East plays their conference foes 3-4 times a year. It's not like they play more divisional games than non-divisional ones.
The Knicks were 18th in defensive rating. That's not going to get much better with Bargs being healthy and taking minutes at the 4. They should be really strong once again offensively, but I highly doubt they get the 2nd seed again if they go with a Melo-Amare-Chandler starting frontline. Bigger isn't better with New York and it's shown since Melo came to New York.
As a Dallas fan, im not sure we will be better then Portland, Denver or even New Orleans next season, with the scrap parts we have slung together and are calling a team. If Coach Carlisle can help Monta get his head on straight then maybe, but as of right now I dont think we will be making playoffs.
I'm not so sure either. The 8th seed is quite difficult to predict with every candidate going through tons of turnover this summer. I like Portland a lot too and Denver will drop off, but how much?
I'm not too high on New Orleans though, but they have a ton about them that I can't wait to see, most notably Davis' progression in his second year.
lol... lipstick and david stern are funny
Its interesting you put Phoenix over Utah. The Suns two best players (Bledsoe and Dragic) are both PGs and shouldn't be played together. After that you got Gortat, an 11 and 8 big man last year, the lackluster Morris twins, aging Butler, and pretty much nothing after that. They have a newcomer as a coach as well. The Jazz are young, but talented, they will be starting two #3 picks (Favors and Kanter), two #9 picks (Hayward and Burke), and #12 pick (Burks). Their bench sucks, but have enough to be in the mid 20s in wins.
Yeah I actually agree with what you and others have said about Utah. I worry about their offense next year and how they'll score, but they do appear more well-rounded than the Suns, who have their four top players playing only two different positions.
I also may be a little too high on Caron Butler taking Michael Beasley's minutes at small forward.
Great input though. Thanks.
I guess I don't really get why people are so down on the Nuggets. Who did they lose this off-season besides Iguodala? Falling from 3rd to 10th seems a bit drastic for a team that's been a 6 seed or better each of the past 5 years.
They lost a coach who has a history of overachieving in the regular season only to underwhelm in the playoffs, and Gallo will miss some a month or two unfortunately.