Bold Predictions for This Year's Rookie Class
1. Rookie of the Year: Cody Zeller
I had Cody ranked as the second best prospect in this year's 2013 rookie class behind Alex Len. And I think he will be a perfect complement to Al Jefferson and a key contributor to a team ( the charlotte bobcats) that I think will surprise some people and potentially become a first time play-off team. Cody just knows how to play the game of basketball, he has a high basketball I.Q, a underrated overall skill level for a big man, and quite simply he has the ability to consistently make high level basketball plays that contribute to his teams ability to play at a high level. He looked very good during summer league games and I think that the success he had over the summer will carry over to the regular season.
Bold prediction regular season stats for Cody Zeller: 14 points per game & 8 rebounds per game
2. Best Player / All Star In 5 years: Alex Len
I think Alex has the most potential and upside with-in this year's rookie class. He just possesses a strong foundation of athleticism, size, length, and a underrated potentially dynamic skill level that you love to see in young center prospects. I think with time and experience he will become more confident & more comfortable in the NBA, naturally grow into a better player, and become a high level contributor to his team for many years to come in the NBA
3. Best Scorer: Shabazz Muhammaed
To keep it real with you guys, Shabazz was one of the best young scoring perimeter prospects that I've had the chance see play on the high school level. He was a great prospect in high school who I think has the potential to be a very good scorer in the NBA with time, experience, and development. It's just very ware that you see a young perimeter player who can scorer in so many ways ( he can score in the low post, he has very good footwork and shot preparation skills coming off pin-downs and screens, he moves well with-out the ball and always looks to flash & cut to open spots on the court, he's a very good shooter from the 3 point line, he has an unorthodox but efficient mid range game that relies on pull-up jumpers, fadeaway jumpers, runners, and teardrops, he's also proven in the past that he can finish difficult lay-ups around the rim with strength, athleticism, body control, and touch ). It will take some time but when he improves his ability to be just as good with his right hand as he is with his left hand. Then that's when I think that he will develop into a high level scorer in the NBA
4. Most Impactful And Most Productive Rookie: CJ McCollum
I'm not extremely high on CJ McCollum, because I question his ability to defend high level perimeter scorers in the NBA and I don't know if he has the ability to be a true combo guard who can play both the point guard and shooting guard positions equally well. But what I can't ignore is the fact that he is a very skilled basketball player who is extremely intelligent, and who possesses a strong love, work ethic, and dedication tours the game of basketball. If he can consistently prove & show that he can be a valuable scorer/shooter who can make good decisions with the ball in his hands, and also prove that he can be a great compliment to damian lilard when playing with him in the same backcourt. Then I think that CJ will easily have the opportunity to be a key contributor to his team ( Portland ) that has a chance to be a very good team this year
5. Biggest Sleeper / Most Underrated Player: Nate Wolters or Archie Goodwin
You guys already know that I think that Nate is the most skilled point guard with-in this years 2013 rookie class. Nate is simply a high level and very crafty ball-handler, passer, shooter, and scorer who also possesses a high basketball I.Q.. He looked great handling the ball against pressure in the summer league and has a Steve Nash / Jason Williams type of dribbling ability that allows him to utilize a variety of advanced crossover moves that allows him to create space with ease. He also is the best pick & roll decision making point guard with-in this rookie class. He just has a great fill for when to drive, pass, or shoot with-in pick & roll situations.
Archie Goodwin at times looked very impressive during summer league games. And I think that when he develops into a more efficient decision maker and learns how to play with a good sense of control and balance. Than he will easily have the opportunity to develop into a talented and athletic ball-handler, slasher, scorer, finisher, and shot creator. That is very similar to a young and very athletic larry hughes or maybe even similar to tyreke evans. Archie's just possesses the dynamic ability to make difficult shots against tough defense.
6. Biggest Bust / Most Overrated Player: Ben McLemore
Sorry Ben McLemore fans, but all of the weaknesses I listed about Ben in past post were on full display in the summer league. I hope he develops into a very good player, but as of right now he has some very glaring weaknesses that might prevent from being a very impactful player with-in his first few years in the NBA
I'm still not very impressed with the overall skill level of Ben Mclemore - Why?
1. He really is just a good spot-up shooter who can use his athleticism to be a dynamic finisher in the open court with-in fastbreak offensive opportunities
2. His ability to create space on the perimeter with his offensive footwork ( jabsteps, pumpfakes, stepbacks, 1 to 2 dribble pull-up jumpshot, stepfakes, etc ) is just average
3. His shot creating instincts off the dribble is average
4.His ability to create offense for himself against tough defense is just average
5. If he is not making his jumpshot, he starts to become a average and inefficient scorer who really doesn't have the all-around offensive skill set that will help him score in a variety of ways
6. At times he struggles finishing around the rim against size, length, contact, and athleticism
7. He doesn't operate efficiently in traffic as a scorer, ball-handler, or finisher
8. To me he will be a solid pro who impacts the game with his spot-up shooting skills, dynamic athleticism in the open court, and solid defensive skills
7. Best Playmaker: Victor Oladipo
Man I love love love Victor Oladipo, I don't think that he will ever be a star, but I think that he will be able to impact many games with his all around skill set, defensive skills, toughness, heart, and athleticism. He's basically a Tony Allen clone that has the potential to a more efficient & effective scorer.
8. Best Defender: Nerlens Noel
9. Best Contributor to a play-off team while coming off the bench: Tim Hardaway Jr
Now I'm not a huge Ben McLemore fan like some people here, but he will NOT be the biggest bust from this years class. Just a prediction.
As a Suns fan I'd love to see Len being best player in 5 years but just like most of the rest of your post I strongly disagree.
Chilbert arenas what's your predictions based on the categories I created
Color me a biased Ben McLemore fan, but I disagree! Shocker right? His weaknesses were in full display during the summer league? Honestly, I was more encouraged about Ben after the summer league. You're talking out of your ass if you think he displayed some of those things you mentioned in the summer league. People overreacted. He shoots 4/23 from the field in the first game, guys go crazy about Ben being a bust. Am I surprised? Nope, he shot terribly. He didn't do a whole lot of bad things outside of not making shots. Which should be the absolute LEAST of our worries about McLemore. We know he can shoot, that doesn't just disappear. Especially with the god-like shooting for that McLemore has (I kid). I was fully expecting him to go into the Summer League and take like 5 shots a game and barely get involved with the offense after watching him so much at KU. I was so reassuring to me that he was taking shots, and for the most part, they were actually good looks outside of a few per game. It was obvious that the Kings were trying to see what McLemore could do and they have him the green light, so I can't blame him for shooting all to those shots. It sucks that he used to be know as a guy that doesn't assert himself and is now known as a chucked because of the summer league. THE SUMMER LEAGUE. While I appreciate the time you put into this post, there isn't a lot of substance in your McLemore argument.
ROY is a hard one in this case so I'm not knocking your Zeller pick, he has as good of a chance as anyone but with the addition of Al Jefferson he won't get as many touches as I originally thought he might. I personally think Oladipo is going to win it because I think the Magic will have a big turn around in wins and he will have a big impact on both ends of the floor.
Player in 5 years: In the spirit of being bold I'm going to say Archie Goodwin. He's the youngest American in this class and showed in the summer league that his shot is not as bad as previously thought.
Best Scorer: CJ McCollum, the guy can get his shot whenever he wants and more importantly can get to the line unlike McLemore or Porter.
Most Productive/Impactful Rookie: Not too sure how this is different from ROY
Biggest Sleeper: Glen Rice Jr, this guy is made for the NBA game and should get some opportunity in DC, not because they don't have depth but because they seem to struggle to stay healthy at times. (I want to say James Ennis but he won't be getting much playing time in Miami.
Biggest Bust: Alex Len, I'm not sold on 7'2 guys that come into the league with stress fractures in their feet already. Even at 100% I didn't see enough of him dominate competition in college. I liked him but didn't love him and thought the Suns should have taken McLemore.
Best Play Maker: I love Oladipo as well I just don't see him running the point like many others have. Yes I know he did in Summer league but so have OJ Mayo and JR Smith in the past. I love almost everything about Oladipo's game but playmaking isn't one of them. I'd go with MCW since he is the best pure passer who has the height to see over defenses and the ability to get in the lane that I'm not sure Burke has yet.
Best defender: Oladipo
Best player coming off a playoff teams bench: Tony Snell: Bulls need depth and shooting and this guy will be thrown into the fire from day one. I think he comes in ready to play, don't mind the fact he's rail thin. Close 2nd would be Reggie Bullock but he might not get much time with the depth the Clippers have.
Overall it's hard to say since I'm not high on anyone from this class and for the record I did give you a +1 for the effort.
I hope you're right about Snell. The Bulls can really use some shooting, I'm just not sure how much he's going to play this year. From what I've read locally, it doesn't seem like he's going to get a ton of minutes. Hopefully he exceeds expectations and gets some quality minutes though.
Not that it's a big deal, but didn't Charlotte make it to the playoffs with Gerald Wallace and Stephen Jackson before? I could have sworn they did.
Pricejames, i don't mean to be rude but, Shabazz Muhammed best scorer?? I know you don't put a whole lot of stock in summer league but did you see any Wolves games?
1. ROY: Victor Oladipo
2. Best player in 5 years: Victor Oladipo
3. Best scorer: CJ McCollum
4. Most productive rookie: Victor Oladipo
5. Biggest sleeper/most underrated: Reggie Bullock
6. Biggest bust: Nerlens Noel
7. Best playmaker: CJ McCollum, MCW
8. Best defender: Victor Oladipo
9. Best contributor off the bench for playoff team: I think Portland sneaks in with the 8 seed, so I'll go CJ McCollum. If they miss out, I'll say Reggie Bullock.
I like the effort and work that you put in the majority of your post's, but I never effing agree with you.
Im surprised nobody has ripped you for this yet.. But Oladipo for best playmaker? Did you not see the turnover machine he was when he played point at summer league? Now put him in an nba game, he is going to be an average at best playmaker for most of his career. He is an elite defender who will make his money giving 110% effort, not by being a play maker.
I agree, you put a lot of effort and I respect your opinion and let's not forget these're BOLD predictions. Other than that I have completely different view of this class' rooks. I'm high on Oladipo and Len (as a long time prospect) but I don't think either of them will be in the ROY race. TObias Harris, Mo Harckless and Nik Vucevic will take major role for Magic and probably overshadow Oladipo's effort, I see him as a key defender though.
Here're my thoughts
1. ROY - McLemore - he should be a starter and once his shot starts to fall he'll be hard to be stopped.
2. Best player in 5 years - Oladipo or Len
3. Best scorer - McLemore
4. Most productive rookie - Kelly Olynyk ( Zeller, Oladipo,MCW and CJ McCollum - all will play significant roles for their teams and probably do well)
5. Biggest sleeper/most underrated - Glen Rice Jr. & Ray McCollum (I like Archie Goodwin too)
6. Biggest bust - OTTO PORTER and/or Nerlens Noel, Lucas Noguera even maybe Trey Burke or Shabazz
7. Best playmaker - MCW - not that I'm too high on him but he might be the only starting pg of the rookies other than him I like Shane Larkin and Payton Siva but they will be backups at least for now.
8. Best defender - Victor Oladipo (this one is a no brainer)
9. Best contributor off the bench for a playoff team - CJ McCollum, Anthony Bennet (in case their respective teams make it there)
PS - Don't get me wrong I like Bennet as a No.1 pick but if Waiters is gonna be a starter for Cavs he might fill in well into the role of a 6th man playing 26-28 mins on both forward positions.
ROY: Anthony Bennett
Best player in 5 years: Shabazz Muhammad
Best scorer: Shabazz Muhammad
most productive rookie: Victor Oladipo
biggest sleeper/most underrated: dennis Schroeder
biggest bust: Cody zeller
best playmaker: Michael Carter Williams
best defender: victor oladipo
best contributor off the bench for a playoff team: james ennis
I'm with prince_james on Len. He had several dominate performances. He owned Mason Plumlee and Noel, who yes was green at the time, but still a solid defense prospect. This all came when he played with awful guards who never found him when he was in scoring position.
I've said it a million times in past posts, but Len could have been a Naismith candidate if he had a guard who knew how to play his position. I watched a bunch of Maryland games last year and was always shocked on how Turgeon used Len. Len would set a nice pick, roll to the basket where any NBA level guard would have dished to him for an easy two points... Instead Des Wells takes a contested long two. And Turgeon does nothing to discourage this behavior. Len was there best player unfortunately Turgeon and the guards didn't realize that.
I think Mason Plumlee will do well coming off the Nets bench. He's just what they need.
Another Duke guy, Ryan Kelly, is a player the Lakers will need to contribute if they have any shot of making the playoffs. Not a high
pick but be has size and can shoot. He's another X factor.
ROY race should be wide open. Dang, with Nash and Kobe along with Chris Kaman inside Ryan Kelly SHOULD BE in the perfect spot.
He is my deep sleeper ROY pick.
1. Rookie of the Year: MCW
- One of only 2 first year players who will see 30+ min a game every night regardless of performance
- will have the ball in his hands most of the game and once they deal turner it will be the whole game
Bold prediction regular season stats for MCW 12ppg 7ast 3reb
2. Best Player / All Star In 5 years: Anthony Bennett
- skilled player with good size
- above avg handles for his size
- nba range on jump shot
- defense needs to improve as well as defying his body
3. Best Scorer: CJ McCollum
- wont lead rookies in scoring if this is the point of the category but has the most scoring ability in the class
- can create his own shot off the bounce
- solid jumper with nba range
- improving floater
4. Most Impactful And Most Productive Rookie: Zeller
- he will most likely lead all rooks in double doubles
- bobcats will have an improve win loss record and Zeller figures to play (probably start) a fair amount. wins equals impact
5. Biggest Sleeper / Most Underrated Player: dennis Schroeder
- could have placed him in the best in 5 years
- atl made a huge error resigning Teague as I believe Schroeder is ready to play right away and would make them better.
6. Biggest Bust / Most Overrated Player: Steve Adams
- just not skilled enough
- will sit on the OKC bench till he is traded or released like the rest of the big men projects they draft
- will see the least amount of playing time of any player picked in the top 15 (including Noel)
7. Best Playmaker: Schroeder/Burke
Schroeder is the best in the class in my opinion. he is so fast and can get to his spot on the floor which draws the defense and allows him to make passes that lead to open shots or layups
Burke will be playing with skilled bigs who figure to take majority of the shots in Utah. this will allow him to run the pick and roll and have the solid stats of a play maker
8. Best Defender: Dipo
hardest worker who prides himself on contributing not scoring
9. Best Contributor to a play-off team while coming off the bench: Jamaal Franklin
Memphis is still short on the wings and franklin fills a void
I feel he has first round talent and with mike millers injury history will play right away