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Bold Prediction: The Number One Pick Is This Year's NBA Draft Will Be..............

princejames
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Bold Prediction: The Number One Pick Is This Year's NBA Draft Will Be..............

Bold Prediction: The Number One Pick Is This Year's NBA Draft Will Be Alex Len
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NpPvt_ilgZE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IknKniuYCic
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FKdjra7MDeM

Reason:

The NBA is in desperate need of talented and skilled centers. And I think alex len has the potential to develop in a pretty good center

I personally love talented centers who have a high all-around skill level. To me the game of basketball should be played inside then outside. Big men who can score on the low post, rebound, block shots, run the floor, and be talented passers will always make the game easier for everybody around them.

Alex Len is intriguing to me because he has a very good all-around skill level and he has the potential to develop into a talented center who can score on the low post, shoot the midrange jumper, rebound, block shots, run the floor, and be a talented passer from the low post and high post. Alex can potentially develop into another Zydrunas Ilgauskas.

Alex Len could end up being the best player from this draft. His skill level, size, mobility, deceptive athleticism, and touch around the basket. Will give him the chance to be a starting center in the NBA. I think he will easily be better than Roy Hibbert and Marcin Gortat.

I also like the fact that Alex has no problem competing with or even outplaying elite level athletes who play the center or power forward postions. For example - this past season- he outplayed:
1. Nerlens Noel ( elite athlete)
2. Mason Plumlee ( elite athlete)
3. CJ Leslie ( elite athlete )

You heard it from me first- Alex len will be the Number One Pick In This Year's NBA Draft-Guaranteed!!!!!!!!!!


RUDEBOY_
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Unless Marcus Smart decides

Unless Marcus Smart decides to enter, i only see either McLemore, Nerlens Noel and the kid from Greece as the potential 1st pick.....Len will be a top 10 center in 3 or 4 years..But i keep hearing talent evaluators say he's not assertive enuff or have the upper body strength to contribute right away..I still think he's a top 10 pick.....

sheepish_mo
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Seems unlikely.

Seems unlikely.

For_Never_Ever
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In such a weak draft it

In such a weak draft it wouldn't shock me anyone projected top ten goes first.

CavFanPR
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It's a good prediction. I'm

It's a good prediction. I'm not a big fan of Alex Len, I think Rudy Gobert from France has way more upside. He's listed at 7'2" in some sites.

TripleDoubleScout
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Great post

I have been saying this to people as well. He does not have the mentality of a #1 pick, but he has the potential to be a top ten center in 3 years. I want my soon to be Hornets to take him if we cant get noel

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Don't agree with you, but a

Don't agree with you, but a good write up nevertheless. Personally I am still going with Nerlens Noel. I think that he's more an NBA center than Len is (if he recovers well from surgery of course). He already has a NBA ready skill now (blocking) and an offensive repertoire is easier to develop than defense.

Spacegrass
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I disagree

I disagree on the offensive repertoire is easier to develop for big guys. Look at all the big guys that get drafted based on size and athleticism with the hope they can develop some offensive moves. But ultimately are just rebounders and defenders getting put backs on dunks as their offense. If a big man has not shown the offensive skill by around 20-21 they likely won't develop it. Big guys develop later but more in the sense they develop there bodies and learn how to use their size properly without being a foul machine. If they have offensive skill you know pretty early and it's a matter of getting those skills up to speed to the NBA level. Alex Len needs the body development and to get use to the speed of the game but he has solid offensive skill. Still wouldn't take him over Noel because pre injury Noel was already NBA ready defensively despite less offensive skill and Len seems he will take 3-4 years before really coming into what he could be. While Noel will be contributing 30 mpg the next 3-4 seasons while Len is learning the NBA game. Noel is just more of an impact guy , down the road though it could be interesting say 6-7 years from now to who is better?

TheBigEasy
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Fair assessment. Indeed it's

Fair assessment. Indeed it's difficult to say what they will do in 6-7 years.

I must say that, while you have a point on offensive development, the lack of development of offensive skill is also because of the way coaches use their big man and how the NBA game has developed in the last few years. It's being more and more a guards game than it was in the past. I still think that i.e. getting a good shot technique can be learned easier (see what the Spurs have done with Kawhi for example, but also, well still not perfect, the floater of Blair) than learn how to read a defensive set properly. The latter has more to do with character and mindset and this is harder to change than a go-to offensive move or something along that line.

But I agree with your statement that some, even latent, offensive skill needs to be shown around 21 otherwise it will be an uphill battle in that department. IMO Noel did show some offensive growth at the end of the season.

Spacegrass
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Hitting a 15-18 ft

Hitting a 15-18 ft jumper consistently is one thing but I am speaking more of actual back to the basket post moves. It is true the game is trending to a smaller/faster game which is killing the Center position compared to what it was 15-20 years ago. Everybody wants to play this spread out offense that helps create as much space as possible not making much sense to have a lane clogging big man on the court anymore.

TheBigEasy
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True hard to argue with that.

True hard to argue with that. I think that it speaks volumes that there are quite some centers working with top notch NBA personnel who still don't know how to perform a useful drop step. Another thing what I find strange is that a lot of back to the basket centers/power forwards have difficulty executing around the basket with both hands. I come from a soccer background and the first thing that trainers try to get you to do is work on your weak leg, no matter on which level you start. Of course it's still has to do a lot with natural talent and willingness to work on it, since my weak leg is still terrible (mainly to do with not willing to put the effort in and it not being a necessity at the low level I play, haha).

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What happens if you are

What happens if you are wrong? I'm sure you will take responsibility for your bold guarantee?

apb540
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Alex Len

He reminds me of Brook Lopez a little bit. Maybe just a little bit smaller, little more athletic, and less polished on the offensive end. Both equally as questionable on defense though. Not what I would want out of the number 1 pick, but none of the candidates this year are worthy of a number 1 pick. Or even top 3 in a good draft to be quite frank.

Bmore_DC
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McClemore will be the #1 pick

McClemore will be the #1 pick this year...Nerlens Noel could also go #1

strobox88
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I'm going with Noel for #1 if

I'm going with Noel for #1 if Charlotte, and Burke #1 if Orlando.

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I really like Len, he has

I really like Len, he has tons of skills but it really really really unlikely that he goes #1.

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I thought he was a dark horse

I thought he was a dark horse candidate at the beginning of the year, but he didn't produce at a great level during ACC play or the NIT and I just don't think he has the upside that many #1 picks have. I think Len will be an eventual starter, like many of the top 10 picks in this draft, but despite the criticism surrounding Noel, McLemore, Porter and Burke, their ceilings are much higher because of either athletic ability or a competitve fire and feel for the game. Len is good, but doesn't have the athletic ability or Noel or Ben or the passion and IQ of Burke or Porter.

I think he could go 5 though, I have him ranked right behind those 4 as the best player on the next tier of picks that incude Bennett and Oladipo.

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Big Z

He plays sort of like a slightly shorter zydrunas ilgauskas. A bit faster i guess too

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