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Biggest knock on NBA Scouts

Lotto Stud
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Biggest knock on NBA Scouts

NBA scouts are iffy as hell. They want kids to stay in school to be upperclassmen and potentially graduate, but they don’t want to draft upperclassmen prospects within the lottery, let alone the first-round.


Chewy
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If I'm an NBA scout

And I see a 18-19 yr old prospect I like, I would love for him to stay in college 2-3 years so I can see how he develops. Not all prospects continue to grow, so I'd like to avoid telling my team to draft Malik Pope after his freshman year because he is going to be the next KD. Because if I did that, based on his last few years, I would probably get fired.

But if a 19 yr old declares and stays in the draft, of course if I think he will be a star in 3-6 years, then I'll tell my team to draft him.

It's just risk management in a job that involves a lot of risk.

Andv1 Waiting
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Um I could see it more being like this maybe:

The Scouts want most likely the half way point: 2 years in college.

Why you ask, most likely this so you can see if they were a flash in the pan(such as a good tourney or a good streak) or if they are the real deal and will continue to improve and a bit more physically developed.

Examples of this Blake Griffin,Westbrook,Harden(I think he did a couple of years at Arizona state),Curry,A horford etc

Two years also gives the player some of that potential word that scouts like to sell GMs on as well vs Seniors who tend to go a lot lower as most scouts will predict this as the player is more of a finished product and Freshman who are so Raw/underdeveloped you are selling them completely on potential which is a biggest gamble and they are usually a little more physically underdeveloped than the other 2 options..

Don't get me wrong though Freshman if you have an well rounded game can still be amazing but for every Kat there is a Anthony bennett to make you worry about taking a young prospect high.....

holefillers1
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I would want two years to

I would want two years to evaluate as well. The jump from H.S. to NCAA is huge. Where would Skal have been drafted right out of HS?...top 5 most likely. Just think about all those wings that are top 5 in the rankings and just disappear as soon as they jump to the next level.

The reason for two years in the NCAA is you are looking for improvement on their stats In addition to specific skill development/refinement. I heard Malik Pope that's a good reason for not taking a guy right out of HS. How about two year guys that are doing well in the league. TJ Warren is an example of a guy that didn't do much his freshman year but basically doubled his stats his sophmore season off an addition 7 min of PT.

In the 2015 class Diamond Stone, Ivan Rabb and Malik Newman were ranked 6,7,8. A couple of those guys would have gone in the first round straight out of HS, maybe all three.

I would love to see this years group go back to school...how would Big 12 teams handle Trae Young? What would Lon Kruger do differently? How would teams adjust to this and what prospects would go to Oklahoma for a chance to play their first year with Young? If Trae Young were to perform well then he is drafted accordingly. If he does not improve then he is drafted accordingly. Same goes for Mo Bamba and Jaren Jackson. These are potential guys. What if there was a two year portfolio to go by. I garuntee these players would become more comfortable in their surroundings and as their minutes go up so to their production...once again if a player is stagnent then you have to look at other factors but at least you are weeding out potential busts.

Some players games are better suited for the NBA and some players deficiencies are hidden in a college system but these are usually brought to attention the longer a player can be scouted. Nothing will be perfect but fewer busts at the top of the draft will lead to a better product on the floor.

Rdf1212
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I think when you talk about

I think when you talk about NBA scouts you can put them in a similar category to guys analyzing stocks.. They reward potential. Potential is always placed at a premium because of the unknown. That’s why companies that have never made money have such high stock prices. Same goes for basketball players. They place a premium on the young guys with “potential” but not all of them pan out. So when you see a kid stay a couple extra years in college and not fully reach that potential they are not drafted as high or looked at with as much promise. This is also why in my opinion if you’re a lock as a first rounder you jump to the NBA. You may never be in that position again if you stay and try to work on things in college.

Lotto Stud
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I get what you mean, but

I get what you mean, but that’s like telling a person they are inexperienced for a position within a company, and then when they go to school for the credentials, they are overqualified.

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