I've been a big fan of this site throughout the years, and every year during the month before the draft I'm entertained by the movement of players in the mock drafts. Two years ago Russell Westbrook was literally predicted everywhere from 4 to 28. Last year people Chase Budinger and Dajuan Blair plummeted from where most mocks had them.
Obviously a lot of this movement has to do with the individual workouts. So, my question is. as the nbadraft.net mock currently stands, who do you see falling and rising the very most from their current spots. Here's my take:
Risers: Terrico White- In a draft rich with bigs, the supply of athletic swing men is low, and his sort of athleticism is very much in demand. I wouldn't be surprised to see this guy increase from where he is now at 21 all the way to #8
Darrington Hobsen- Having watched this kid play, I'm shocked to see him so low in so many drafts. I think he is mature and talented enough to play meaningful minutes as a rookie. I wouldn't be shocked to see him move up from where he is now at 50 into the mid 20's.
Sherron Collins- His size will keep him out of the first round, but for a team looking for a talented mature backup PG, this guy makes a good case. I can see him moving to the mid 30s.
Potential free falls-
Hassan Whiteside- I really like this kid. But like DeAndre Jordan a few years ago, there are a lot of questions... especially concerning his maturity. In a draft so full of very promising and more proven players, a lot of GM's may elect to stay away from guys with perceived high risk. Although I think he should be a mid first rounder, I won't be surprised when he falls to the end of the first round and possibly into the mid 30's.
Solomon Alabi- I'm very surprised to still see him so high. This guy has all the weaknesses of Thabeet but isn't nearly athletic, tall, or skilled. The situation he is in is familiar to Pavel Podkolzine in 05. It's like they're putting him that high just because he's big. Well. PP fell in the draft, and unfortunately I think Alabi is in for a similar fall. I predict mid 40s.
Ed Davis- I think Ed Davis is going to be the last player in the green room. For teams looking for a PF, there are so many options, and I'm just not sure Davis does anything to seperate himself from a lot of oter guys. I've been very high on him, but I really think he's going to tumble into the mid 20s.
That's what I've got. Tell me who you think will move the most. Please be different. Don't just pick your favorite and least favorite players. Predict better than the experts!
I am hearing that teams are hot for Paul George right now...also probably Lance Stephenson, I keep reading that teams were buzzing about him during the combine
- I think Aldrich will plummet. After he measured smaller than expected, and performed terribly athletically, he has to be sliding already, and could free fall considering how many other amazing shot-blockers/defensive-minded big men with major upside there are out there. He's recently fallen from 6 to 9 to 13 on this site and I think he can only drop further, with Udoh (16 on this site, that's pretty low for him) leapfrogging him for sure. I think he could go as low as the late teens. Most mocks also have Orton higher.
- I see Bledsoe's stock rising, mostly due to the lack of quality point guards. He won't climb as drastically as Westbrook, but I think he could be a real upset pick: incredible athlete, great length, really strong, terrific shooter for a young PG, very good rebounder for his size (3.1 rpg on a team with 3 big men projected to go top-20 at least), lockdown defender, plays really hard. If he flashed some real PG skills, and I was Indiana, I would have no qualms taking him 10th.
i dont see anyway whiteside falls out of the top 20. Im putting him at number 9 to utah right now. He has the the upside to be a top 5 player from this draft.
I would say likely fallers are:
pattrick patterson, armon johnson, james andersen, devin ebanks
whiteside, mikhail torrance, and xavier henry can climb into the top 10 as well
It seems as though a LOT of people on this site see Hassan Whiteside being like DeAndre to be bad for his draft prospects. However, I think that it's a good thing. I mean, most GMs can see that if DeAndre was given a full season playing 25-30 minutes consistently, he'd be a solid 10 - 10 - 2 guy by now. I think that warrants a top 10 pick, personally.
Seriously, what's wrong with DeAndre as a prospect? He's just not getting the consistent minutes he needs to develop. If a team in the lotto picked him up that year (cough, cough, Warriors), he'd be challenging Biedrins for the starting spot right now!
Right now, I think most would agree that Hassan Whiteside is a BETTER prospect than DeAndre. Most GMs will be like "yo, let's not pass on this guy like we passed on DeAndre Jordan". Honestly, worst case scenario for Whiteside is DeAndre Jordan.
Even if Hassan Whiteside is like a DeAndre Jordan for the first 2-3 years, what's the harm? If you give him 25 minutes a game, he'll get you 10 - 8 -2. That sounds like a solid line for a starter in this league if you can overlook the poor defense.
Sherron Collins....I'm not high on him..But i got a feeling some team is going to waste a 1st round pick on Sherron Collins..To me Collins will struggle in the league...
Ed Davis could go number 7 or slide down to 25..
tli232, there is nothing wrong with DeAndre. Infact, I wanted the Jazz to take him instead of Koufus.. which they should have. I was just making the point that I think some of the same concerns about Whitside are the same as the ones that led to DeAndre falling, that's all.
Guy27, I get what you're saying. I know that they have the same concerns, but we must admit, the NBA is a copycat league; if one guy who plays a certain way succeeds, GMs will think another guy who plays the same way will succeed (see: European Bigs after Nowitzki).
That being said, GMs will probably look at DeAndre and be like "if DeAndre can overcome those concerns, Whiteside should be able to do the same"
His bad measurements and low ceiling will hurt him. Udoh to me will sneak into the top 10 to either Detroit or Utah. Monroe will go in the top 5 and I think if Motie enters he falls to 20
is that why blair fell so far, because he is just like millsap. whiteside is a bust in training. players with potential need good work ethic to reach that potential. he just wont be strong enough to guard all star centers.
actually blair's main reason for falling was about his knees. And whiteside wont be doing much his first year or two, but if a team is looking 3-4 years down the road, he can defenitely turn into somehitng special. Sooner if he is given an opportyunity right away. I defenitly like him more then mullens and mullens went like 16th.
Mikhail Torrance- excellent shooting on display at the combine
Terrico White- tremendous athletic measurements
Paul George- has displayed nice size and good feel for the game at the combine
Eric Bledsoe- lack of PG depth lands him on a lot of teams radar
Luke Babbitt- supreme athlete and crafty scorer
Cole Aldrich- poor size and athleticism will hurt
Damion James- shooting was disgraceful
Charles Garcia- see Damion James
Al-Farouq Aminu- hasn't done anything to hurt himself..its just that Babbitt and George have almost surpassed him
Donatas Motiejunas- even considered removing his name from this draft...