The #2 pick in the draft is
Let's just say Orlando is deciding strictly between Trey Burke and Ben McLemore for the second pick. Who do you think they will take?
Since Orlando had the worst record and will likely return the lottery again last year, I think they should take McLemore this year and hope they can get Smart in next year's draft. It was rumored that the Magic would take Smart first overall if they got the first pick and Smart entered the draft, neither of which happened. Orlando would only need the fourth or fifth pick next year to grab Smart as I'm guessing Wiggins, Parker, and Randle will go top 3. I can definitely understand though why people would argue that Burke is the better fit as he's a bigger name right now, and would give them a PG for the future to develop with a bunch of up and coming players.
Three things come to mind for the Magic in this position outside the fact Cleveland would need to take Noel for this to matter.
1.) How highly do the Magic rate Ben McLemore? Do they see him as a Ray Allen second coming as some have suggested? If so that's hard to pass. Or do they take the other prominent opinion that McLemore is a good, but inconsistent shooting guard.
2.) How highly do the Magic rate Trey Burke? They may not view him as a potential star as some people do. They may not like his size and be concerned if he's athletic enough for the next level. Or they could see him as a pure star and take him without hesitation.
3.) What is the Magic's plan for Aaron Afflalo? Does Rob Hennigan view him as a key veteran moving forward and part of the teams future or just a player to swap when the time is right? If Hennigan is following what Sam Presti did in OKC then it's not hard to imagine seeing Afflalo got swapped for a young prospect and some expiring contracts. If that's the case, then McLemore may be more likely as the second pick.
Hennigan is hard to peg since he hasn't been a GM very long, but I wouldn't be surprised to see them take McLemore and moving Afflalo. Then again they may see Trey Burke as just the guy they need. I think they draft McLemore and trade him for Burke. I could see that happening with the Bobcats.
its absolutely impossible to say who the number 2 pick will be when we dont even know who the #1 pick will be yet...However since you said between burke and ben mac i would definitely choose mclemore...i feel like if anybody has any kind of shot to be an all star in this draft someday then it is ben mclemore so he would be my choice over burke...love trey burke tho!
Yeah I'm asking this as a hypothetical, yet realistic question. Cleveland could likely pick Noel or Porter and while Orlando could then pick the one of Noel/Porter that Cleveland doesn't take, I think they would be more likely to add a guard (unless Cleveland takes Porter, in which case it'd be a close cut between the three.)
For most teams next year, it is "Wiggins or Bust".
So, now take the BPA at a position other than the wing.
For Orlando, that means take Trey Burke and get the point guard of the future. Then try to move Jameer Nelson and his $8 million contract.
Play the young guys and hope to get the top pick next year.
So what if they want Marcus Smart next year? If they take McLemore this year and then end up with the top pick next year, you mean they are gonna pass on Andrew Wiggins and go with Marcus Smart?
And, is Marcus Smart better than Trey Burke?
As of right now it seems like any team would take Wiggins, Parker, and Randle in the top 3 in next years draft unless someone surprises me. I'm just saying that Smart would be easier to get as he'll go around 4-6 range next year (at least that's where his stock is now, it could always drop if he has a sophomore season comparable with Tony Mitchell in which you don't do bad, but don't advance your game to the next level.)
And I don't know if Marcus Smart is better than Trey Burke or not. I do feel that Smart is the safer pick right now. He is built as a combo guard, but has great point guard skills, and has just as much if not more leadership abilities than Burke. His size isn't a question at all, and he'll likely be a good defender at the next level. Burke seems like a higher risk to me, even though I think both will be solid NBA players.
But to bring it full circle, I still think McLemore is a better pick instead of Burke. Most people are making the case that Afflalo is a starting capable SG for a few more seasons, while Nelson's days are limited. While that may be true, I don't think there's as big a differential between Nelson and Afflalo's value to the Magic as people make it seem. Afflalo is 27 and averaged 16-3-3 on the worst NBA team last year. Those are good numbers, but they're pretty much empty stats as the Magic couldn't buy a win last year. In contrast, Nelson is 31 and averaged 14-7-3 (all stats above his career averages.) While Afflalo may stick around in Orlando longer, I don't think position needs to play a factor into picking Burke vs. McLemore as neither are long term solutions. I think Orlando needs to go with the player they feel has more upside. If that player pans out, they'll take the starting job away from either Afflalo or Nelson. If they take a player that just becomes average, they won't take the starting job for 2-3 seasons, and that player won't be worth a #2 selection. McLemore seems like the better pick to me, but as I said earlier, I don't think Burke is a bad pick either. Let's just say it's a good dilemma to be in when you have to pick between these two prospects.
Smart won't be the best PG next year, Andrew Harrison will be better.